RBI will cut rates in its next policy announcement on June 2.
Concerned by GDP slowdown and unrealistic tax targets, the economists urged Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman to implement long-term structural steps like land and labour reforms. Warning against any off-Budget financing the economists said the government should prepare a statement of intent for its social, rural and welfare sector expenditure.
Even if RBI partially replaces the stock of the high value notes, RBI will have to incur thousands of crores of rupees in cost, say economists.
Some say the MPC will raise the rate, while others are of the view that there is already de facto interest rate tightening through rising bond yields, which might prompt the central bank to go for a pause.
If imputed inflation for April and May is used, then you have inflation of over 6 per cent for two consecutive quarters, which is a worrying signal for the RBI.
Telangana govt currently provides the state's 5.83 million farmers an income support of Rs 4,000 per acre per season, irrespective of the size of their land holding
Income velocity based on currency with the public went down from 0.93 in October to 0.84 in March says a report from SBI's economic research department
This permission was given some time late last month, before the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on March 31 issued the indicative borrowing calendar for the states for April-June and the one for the Centre for April-September.
Analysis of the 7th Pay Commission's recommendations.
The government is drawing up a relief package for industry with steps such as relaxation of asset-classification norms by banks, thus allowing companies to delay the repayment of loans, and tax holidays for the worst-hit sectors like aviation and hospitality. But it might not be enough to stop more bankruptcies from getting filed.
The railways, the country's largest employer, will be hiring 127,000 people in 2018-2019, for which 23.7 million are competing.
'If you consider only demonetisation and GST as my government's work, it will be a big injustice to me.'
Instead of a rate hike, or even a pause, there could be a window for the RBI for an interest rate cut
'The government and the RBI have been playing a very good part in terms of inflation management.'
According to the final recommendations of an expert committee, the weight of primary (unprocessed) food items will go down by 0.5-1.0 percentage points in the new series compared to the current one
Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) Chairman C Rangarajan may have found the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)'s inflation projections on the higher side, but independent experts agree with the central bank and expect both wholesale and retail prices to remain high.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch believes this would ease pressures on CAD as $10 a bbl fall in oil price reduces CAD by $8 billion or 0.4 per cent of GDP.
Economists have said if a stimulus is needed it should be different from what was provided in 2008-09, when the economy faced the ripple effects of a global meltdown following the Lehman Brothers collapse.
'Once the lockdown is lifted, we will see some pickup in demand.' 'And my sense is that it will be a long walk this time given that we have lost three months of economic activity.'
Bankers and economists agree rates will soften, though the quantum would depend on banks' asset-liability profile
After months of denying there was a liquidity problem, Governor Raghuram Rajan has reversed course.
The central bank is the money manager of the government, and not a guarantor of any debt.
Rapid rise in disposal of corruption cases against govt employees has helped
Depreciating the rupee against the dollar to boost economic growth has fiscal constraints and monetary limitations
The incoming government will have to encourage private investments, bring down cost of capital
Morgan Stanley expects RBI to cut rates sharply rather than "dribble down".
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuram Rajan has set himself a target of lowering consumer inflation and is even ready to raise rates to achieve it, risking friction with the new government, if he is seen as overstepping.
Slight recovery in growth is expected only in July-September.
As yields on 10-year government bonds rose from 6.65% in April 2017 to around 7.50% now, liquidity pressures have increased the cost of funds for housing finance companies.
There is a narrow chance that the central bank may cut rates in the future, according to a poll of 15 economists and treasurers.
Out of around 80 million accounts that were analysed, there were 10 million records with only names and no other details about the subscribers, including their date of joining, date of birth and father's name, among others, in the EPFO's records.
While Raghuram Rajan has said in the past that other factors, including domestic fundamentals, outweigh the US Fed policy meet, this time it would be different
'There are a lot of positive things these reforms are bringing about and it is only a matter of some quarters before the growth rate picks up momentum.' 'Until then we need to be a little bit patient.'
The central bank has, so far, cut its repo rate by 125 bps.
As you swipe your credit/debit card with carefree abandon at merchant outlets, banks are losing money to the tune of Rs 3,800 crore annaully, says Soumya Kanti Ghosh
The Prime Minister's Office has decided to set up a panel, led by former chief statistician T C A Anant, to deliberate on whether the enterprise-level quarterly data, which is released by the labour bureau, should be discontinued.
What the reserves offer for now is improved import coverage of about 13 months, almost double the 2013 level of less than seven months. And, ammunition to arrest a rapid rupee slide, says Anup Roy.
RBI is expected to discuss about the impact of GST in its monetary policy.
Though inflation, on the basis of the wholesale price index, is nowhere near the 1990-91 level of 10.26 per cent and India is in a much better position to check it, the greater integration of our economy with the globe has exposed it to a much higher risk of imported inflation.
Months before 8/11, MP, Haryana probed note ban
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