Manufacturing Sector Sees Strong Growth in May, Driven by Domestic Demand and Infrastructure

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India's manufacturing sector experienced a significant acceleration in May, reaching a three-month high in its Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), propelled by robust domestic demand, infrastructure development, and new business acquisitions despite persistent inflationary challenges.

Manufacturing

Photograph: Amit Dave/Reuters

Key Points

  • India's manufacturing sector growth accelerated to a three-month high in May, with the HSBC India Manufacturing PMI reaching 55.0, up from 54.7 in April.
  • The surge in activity was primarily fuelled by strong domestic demand, ongoing infrastructure projects, and significant new business gains.
  • Despite inflationary pressures, particularly from the Middle East conflict impacting energy and material costs, goods producers increased purchasing and employment.
  • Output growth and new orders expanded at their fastest pace since February, indicating robust underlying demand.
  • Business confidence remains positive, with manufacturers anticipating a reduction in cost pressures later in the year and supported by strong order pipelines.
 

India's manufacturing sector activity growth accelerated to a three-month high in May, driven by demand strength, infrastructure projects and new business gains, even amid inflationary pressures, a monthly survey said on Monday.

The seasonally adjusted HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) posted 55.0 in May, above the April reading of 54.7, indicating the strongest improvement in the sector's health in three months.

Understanding the Manufacturing PMI

HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a gauge of overall conditions derived from measures of new orders, output, employment, supplier delivery times and stocks of purchases.

Manufacturing graph

In the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) parlance, a print above 50 means expansion, while a score below 50 denotes contraction.

Goods producers reported the fastest expansions in new orders and output since February and cited factors like demand strength, infrastructure projects, and new business gains as the main reasons behind the upturn.

"India's final manufacturing PMI points to another month of possible precautionary stockpiling as the Middle East conflict remains unresolved. Output growth accelerated, while purchasing activity and stocks of finished goods rose at a faster pace," said Pranjul Bhandari, Chief India Economist at HSBC.

Domestic Market Drives Growth

Underlying data showed that the domestic market provided impetus to growth, as new export orders rose at a softer pace.

On the price front, the war in the Middle East continued to exert pressure on cost burdens. Panel members signalled greater outlays on energy, fuel, materials and transportation.

"Input cost inflation eased slightly on the month, and output price inflation slowed more sharply, suggesting a potential squeeze on manufacturers' margins," Bhandari said.

Notwithstanding sharp increases in input costs, goods producers purchased more materials in May. Moreover, the pace of growth in buying levels was sharp, the quickest in three months and above the historical trend. Underpinning the rise were attempts to raise contingency stocks.

Meanwhile, greater production requirements induced another round of job creation across India's manufacturing industry. The rate of expansion was solid, despite slowing from April.

Business confidence remained positive, with companies hoping that cost pressures will fade later in the year. Advertising and strong order pipelines also supported optimism towards growth prospects.

The HSBC India Manufacturing PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to questionnaires sent to purchasing managers in a panel of around 400 manufacturers.

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