El Nino is often associated with below average warmer, dry weather across Asia Pacific region.
Very heavy rainfall is likely to occur at one or two places in Kerala on Wednesday.
A likely western disturbance over north India during the weekend might cause heavy to very heavy showers in a few places, including New Delhi.
Monsoon is likely to be 96 per cent of the long period average
Installed at a cost of Rs 450 crore in Pune and Noida, the two supercomputers are set to fundamentally alter the weather forecasting scenario in India by enabling the IMD to forecast severe weather conditions up to the sub-district or block level.
Anything between 96-104 per cent of the LPA is considered as normal rainfall while precipitation in the range of 104-110 per cent is termed 'above normal'
Sowing had started on a sluggish note in several parts of the country because of delay in the onset of the monsoon but has picked up pace subsequently as the rains progressed and performed appreciably well in August.
More than 1,600 people died due to extreme weather conditions across the country last year, with severe heat wave claiming the largest chunk of the total deaths at 40 per cent, followed by flooding and lightning.
The IMD chief also allayed fears of occurrence of an El-Nino.
IMD director general K J Ramesh said the Met wasn't being conservative and weather patterns indicated that there was a possibility of rainfall being very near to the 50-year LPA of 89 cm.
El Nino is expected to occur in August-September, but it is unlikely to have any major impact on the monsoon, and the weatherman expects a positive Indian Ocean Dipole, which has a strong influence on rainfall in the country.
This could have huge implications for agriculture, food prices, supply and overall economic growth of the country
The monsoon this year in India was likely to be 'below normal' at 95% of LPA: Skymet
At present, the Met department is often unable to provide exact information on the exact amount of rain over a localised area.
In the first of a two-part series, Business Standard examines the impact of the upcoming summer on agriculture and drinking water supply.
While the IMD had forecast a 'normal' monsoon for the entire season, Skymet stated that rain this year would be 'below normal', report Sanjeeb Mukherjee and Sahil Makkar.
The IMD attributed the projection to a weakening of El Nio and the Indian Ocean Dipole turning positive.
The negotiations started on Sunday, a day ahead of schedule.
© 2026 Rediff.com - Investor Information - Advertise with us - Disclaimer - Privacy Policy - Sitemap - Feedback - About us - Terms of use - Grievances