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Bihar results: Most exit polls miss the mark

Source: PTI   -  Edited By: Utkarsh Mishra
November 11, 2020 05:23 IST
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The Bihar assembly election results appeared to belie predictions made by most exit polls which had given a clear edge to the Rashtriya Janata Dal-led Mahagathbandhan.

 

IMAGE: Celebrations at JD-U office after poll trends started coming in favour of the NDA on Tuesday. Photograph: ANI Photo

The ABP-CVoter exit poll prediction was the closest among all.

It had projected 104-128 seats for the National Democratic Alliance and 108-131 seats for the opposition grand alliance.

According to the Election Commission's final results published on its website, the NDA won 125 seats, passing the halfway mark by three seats.

bihar final results
 nDA (BJP+JD-U+HAM+VIP) 125
mahagathbandhan (RJD+Cong+Left) 110
lok janshakti party 1
others 7

The Mahagathbandhan's tally stood at 110.

The majority mark in the 243-member Bihar assembly is 122.

The RJD, however, emerged as the single-largest party winning 75 seats. The BJP came second with 74.

The Janata Dal-United was a distant third with 43 seats, the Congress won 19 seats.

The Left parties tally stood at 16.

Chanakya-CNN News18 on Tuesday projected 180 seats for the RJD-led grand alliance, 55 for the NDA and eight for others.

India Today-Axis My India poll showed the RJD-led opposition was likely to win 139-161 seats, as against 69-91 for the NDA.

It predicted three to five seats for the Lok Janshakti Party and others.

The ABP-CVoter exit poll predicted 104-128 seats for the NDA and 108-131 seats for the opposition grand alliance.

It projected Chirag Paswan-led LJP to get one to three seats.

what Exit Polls predicted
  NDA MGB LJP OTHERS
CNN News 18-Todays Chanakya 54 180 0 8
Dainik Bhaskar 120-127 71-81 12-23 19-27
News X-Dvresearch 110-117 108-123 4-10 8-23
Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat 91-117 118-138 5-8 3-6
Times Now- C Voter 116 120 1 6
India Today-Axis My India  69-91 139-161 3-5 3-5
ABP-CVoter 104-128 108-131  1-3 -
TV9 Bharatvarsh 115 120  4 4

A similar trend was predicted by Times Now-CVoter, which projected 116 seats for the NDA, 120 for the opposition alliance and a single seat for the LJP. It predicted six seats for others.

Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat exit poll also gave a clear majority to the RJD-led alliance with 128 seats, while it projected 104 seats for the ruling NDA, seven seats for the LJP and four for others.

TV9 Bharatvarsh projected NDA to win 115 seats, the grand alliance 120 and four each for LJP and others.

The NDA comprises the JD-U, BJP, Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) and Hindustan Awam Morcha-Secular.

The BJP contested 110 seats, leaving 11 to the VIP, while the JD-U fielded candidates on 115 seats.

It had given seven seats to the HAM.

On the other hand, the RJD contested 144 seats, the Congress 70 and the three Left parties fielded candidates on 29 seats.

The three-phase Bihar Assembly election ended on Saturday.

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Source: PTI  -  Edited By: Utkarsh Mishra© Copyright 2021 PTI. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PTI content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent.
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