Order pipeline strong for listed shipbuilding majors

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India's leading shipyards, Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited, Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Limited, and Cochin Shipyard Limited, are poised for significant expansion and revenue growth, buoyed by a substantial pipeline of Indian Navy orders and strategic diversification into commercial and export markets.

Shipyard

Photograph: Kind courtesy, Garden Reach Shipbuilders

Key Points

  • The Indian Navy's 21% share in defence spending and a large pipeline of orders are set to significantly benefit domestic shipyards like MDL, GRSEL, and CSL.
  • GRSEL reported a provisional turnover of Rs 6,400 crore for FY26, delivered eight vessels to the Indian Navy, and is negotiating contracts for five next-generation Corvettes and 12 export vessels.
  • MDL boasts a robust order backlog of Rs 27,400 crore as of Q2 FY26, with revenue visibility for nearly three years, and is diversifying into offshore and commercial vessels.
  • CSL has an order book of Rs 23,000 crore, including six LNG container ships for CMA France, and is a frontrunner for the Indian Navy's second Indigenous Aircraft Carrier (IAC-II) order worth Rs 45,000 crore.
  • Key risks for these shipyards include client concentration with the Indian Navy, prolonged procurement processes, and global supply chain dependence for critical subsystems.
 

The Indian Navy’s share in defence spending is around 21 per cent, and there is a large pipeline of orders. The three listed domestic shipyards — Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MDL), Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Limited (GRSEL), and Cochin Shipyard Limited (CSL) — will be beneficiaries. MDL and GRSEL have robust order visibility.

CSL may be dependent on a proposed aircraft carrier order.

GRSEL's Strong Performance and Diversification

GRSEL recorded a turnover of Rs 6,400 crore (provisional and unaudited) for financial year 2025-26 (FY26), versus Rs 5,076 crore in FY25.

GRSEL delivered eight vessels to the Indian Navy in FY26.

It is in the advanced stages of negotiating a contract for construction of five next-generation Corvettes. GRSEL is constructing 12 export vessels for a German client, and a dredger for export.

It has inaugurated a next-generation virtual reality (NGVR) lab, and it has MoUs (memorandums of understanding) with Hindustan Shipyard, K2 Cranes & Components, Kalyani Strategic Systems, SWAN Defence & Heavy Industries, and Reintjes GmbH, Germany.

MDL's Robust Backlog and Future Prospects

MDL has a capacity for simultaneous work on 10 warships and 11 submarines.

MDL reported 25.9 per cent revenue growth over FY22-FY25.Its revenue growth should be in lower teens till FY28, with an operating profit margin in high teens.

MDL’s order backlog (as of the second quarter, or Q2, of FY26) was Rs 27,400 crore, with project 17A frigates and ONGC offshore platforms as primary revenue contributors through FY27.

The book-to-bill at the end of FY25 was at 2.8, providing revenue visibility for nearly three years.

The submarine pipeline includes three Scorpene-class vessels and P-75(I) AIP-equipped units for Rs 1 trillion-plus, which are in late-stage negotiations.

Other prospects include project 17B frigates, project 15C destroyers, and landing platform docks (LPDs), bringing the pipeline to over Rs 3 trillion for the next decade.

MDL is diversifying into offshore vessels and commercial ships, with orders for ONGC to contribute Rs 3,000 crore revenue in FY27.

A planned acquisition of 51 per cent stake in Colombo Dockyard Plc will launch ship repair and refit.

Capital expenditure (capex) of Rs 5,000 crore in Tuticorin Greenfield yard is for commercial and green ships.

Innovation and Financial Health at MDL

MDL’s R&D (research and development) expenditure for FY25 was Rs 110 crore, roughly 1 per cent of revenue of Rs 11,430 crore.

The operating profit was Rs 2,060 crore in FY25, with margin at 18 per cent.

The balance sheet is debt-free. Other income contributed 36.5 per cent to profit before tax (PBT) in FY25 despite growth in operating income.

Capex requirements over the next decade will be about Rs 17,000-18,000 crore.

MDL plans to invest more in R&D.

It has MoUs with the Brazilian Navy and the Naval Group, France.

It has a collaboration with IIT Madras, and with many startups.

The company is also working on quantum communication with the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO).

It is designing a Midget Submarine and developing a Fuel Cell-based Electric Vessel (FCEV) as well as “AUV Swarm Drones”.

CSL's Expanding Order Book and Strategic Bids

CSL has an order of Rs 3,240 crore from CMA of France to build six LNG container ships, raising the order book to Rs 23,000 crore.

CSL is the lowest bidder for Indian Navy’s Next-Generation Survey Vessel (NGSV), with estimated order value of Rs 5,000 crore.

The CMA order will be in cooperation with HD Hyundai Heavy Industries. CSL is entitled to the shipbuilding financial assistance scheme, for assistance of 25 per cent on the contract value.

CSL is also a major contender for an LPD order, with potential value of Rs 20,000 crore.

The Indian Navy is likely to place an order for a second Indigenous Aircraft Carrier (IAC-II) worth around Rs 45,000 crore in 2029.

CSL delivered the first carrier, INS Vikrant, in 2022 and is the front runner if this order happens.

It is in contention for Shipping Corporation of India’s (SCI’s) expression of interest (EoI) to build eight “Very Large Gas Carriers”, or VLGCs, at an estimated value of $950 million, with six VLGCs to be built at an Indian shipyard.

Revenue growth in FY27-FY28 will be driven by completion of Anti-Submarine Warfare Corvettes (unexecuted value Rs 3,000 crore) and Next-Generation Missile Vessel (NGMV) orders (unexecuted value Rs 9,700 crore). CSL expects mid-teen annual growth in revenue through the medium term.

Challenges and Risks for Indian Shipyards

One risk for all the three shipyards is client concentration.

The Indian Navy’s notoriously prolonged procurement process is an issue.

Also, there is global supply chain dependence for many critical subsystems.

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