Sales of total electric vehicles in India are expected to be around 10 lakh units this year, equal to what was sold collectively in the last 15 years, mainly riding on the good traction witnessed by electric two-wheelers, Society of Manufacturers of Electric Vehicles (SMEV) said on Thursday.
In 2021, the sales of electric two-wheelers (E2Ws) in the country jumped over two-fold at 233,971 units driven by a good traction of high-speed scooters as compared to 100,736 units in 2020, SMEV said in a statement.
"We haven't seen better days than the last few months in the entire EV journey.
"In the last 15 years, we collectively sold around 1 million e2w, e-three wheelers, e-cars, and e-buses, and we will most likely sell the same 1 million units in just one year beginning January 2022," SMEV director general Sohinder Gill said.
The recent positive changes in EV policy through FAME II are a game-changer and a decisive move by the government to "ensure a cleaner and greener transportation sector, reducing reliance on expensive and dirty liquid fuel", he added.
Stating that customers have now started shifting in large numbers from petrol two-wheelers to electric ones due to attractive prices, lower running costs, and lower maintenance, Gill said, "a significant percentage of customers also factor in the environment and sustainability in their decision to buy an electric two-wheeler."
Going by the recent monthly trends, the next 12 months may see five to six times the growth over the previous 12 months, he added.
According to SMEV, the high-speed electric two-wheelers (E2Ws), which have speed greater than 25km/hour and require a full license, registered a whopping 425 per cent growth at 142,829 units in 2021, as compared to 27,206 units in 2020.
Sales of low-speed E2Ws with speed less than 25km/hour and no requirement for license and registration grew only by 24 per cent last year at 91,142 units, as compared to 73,529 units sold in 2020.
In fact, SMEV said sales of low-speed E2Ws declined in the last two quarters of 2021 with its market share dipping to less than 15 per cent in the last quarter of October-December 2021, as compared to over 70 per cent in all the previous years. These low-speed E2Ws are not subsidised under the FAME 2 policy.
The incentives on high-speed bikes based on their battery capacity of Rs 15,000/kwhr has made the entry-level high-speed eE2Ws cheaper than many of the low-speed ones, it added.
Gill said in the next two to three years, India is expected to have products across all segments, ranging from e-scooters, e-motorcycles, and e-cycles from large and organised players.
"In four to five years, we can now confidently predict that around 30 per cent of the two-wheeler market will be electric," he added.
SMEV said based on VAHAN data, Hero Electric was the number one high-speed E2W player by sales with 46,214 units in 2021, followed by Okinawa with 29,868 units, Ather 15,836 units, Ampere 12,417 units and Pure EV 10,946 units.
Photograph: Jason Reed/Reuters