After lagging behind the broader market over the past three and six months, defence sector stocks have regained ground, reversing their performance from the past month. Concerns about slowing order inflows, execution hurdles, supply chain disruptions, and high valuations had weighed on the sector.
Overall, volume growth is likely to be in the range of 3-8 per cent for two-wheelers and 5-7 per cent for passenger vehicles owing to healthy demand from urban and rural areas and pending order books.
Reliance Industries' (RIL's) oil-to-chemicals (O2C) business is likely to remain under pressure for the remaining of the current financial year, according to analysts and company executives. "Management guides for softness for the next couple of quarters in both retail and O2C businesses," analysts at BOB Capital Markets noted in an after-results report on RIL. For the July-September quarter (Q2) of 2024-25 (FY25), RIL's O2C business reported a 5.1 per cent year-on-year increase in revenue to Rs 1.55 trillion.
According to sources, in a January 6 letter to the department of financial services under the finance ministry, LIC said it wanted to stop sponsoring LIC Nomura Mutual Fund, and might offer some of its stake in LIC Housing Finance to other shareholders.
Since Sanjay Malhotra took office as governor in December, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has adopted a more accommodative stance, which bodes well for banking and the economy as they navigate a growth slowdown, according to analysts.
Fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) companies are expected to witness pressure on volumes in the October-December quarter. However, price hikes will help push up revenues, said brokerages.For India's largest engineering firm, Larsen and Toubro (L&T), the analysts expect a 20 per cent growth in consolidated revenue, and an 8.1 per cent core business Ebitda margin, up 40 bps from a year ago.
The global demand recovery is likely to stay sluggish.
Brokerages expect a further slowdown in Indian firms' revenue and earnings growth in Q4FY25, following low single-digit growth in the preceding three quarters, as factors like weak consumer demand and credit growth linger on.
Global brokerage Nomura has increased its one-year target of benchmark BSE Sensex to 30,310.
Goldman Sachs forecasts real GDP growth to accelerate to 7.9 per cent in FY17 from a projected 7.5 per cent in FY16.
FDI inflows to India are picking up.
Takahide Kiuchi, senior economist with Nomura Securities does not expect the Bank of Japan, BoJ to raise rates. As per Kiuchi, the BOJ is likely to adopt the 'wait and watch' policy.
Why has the shift from ICE to electric slowed down despite initial enthusiasm?
The Japanese bank agreed to help Manchester United supporters to thwart a takeover attempt by U.S. tycoon Malcolm Glazer.
Macro economic environment in India is expected to improve further and drive the BSE index, Sensex, to 33,500 by December-end.
Describing the "lower agriculture output" as the "immediate challenge", Nomura said it could be a drag on GDP in the next quarter and on rural consumption. "But we expect urban consumption to rebound due to better job prospects," it said.
The narrative on China is changing post the recent stimulus measures, and it will be hard for global investors to ignore the Chinese markets.
Nomura, Japan's largest brokerage, is considering mergers and acquisitions in order to build its presence in emerging markets such as China and India , where it needs operating licences. Kenichi Watanabe, new chief executive, said on Monday that "the market environment is difficult but [we] consider it a major opportunity" to expand in areas where the company lacks competitiveness.
The stock of Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals has shed about 12 per cent since the start of the month due to a muted near-term outlook. Demand slowdown across segments and pre-buying in cooling products in the June quarter are expected to weigh on revenues going ahead. In addition to pre-buying in the preceding quarter, demand conditions are soft on account of lower consumer spending due to inflationary conditions, weakness in rural demand and the fact that Q2 remains a soft quarter after a strong summer.
Nomura has come a long way since launching its first India-dedicated fund six years ago.
However, growth is expected to bounce back to an average of 7.3 per cent in the second half of 2017 and 7.7 per cent in 2018
A brilliant performance by teenager Khalin Joshi helped Indian golf team end a 38-year long medal drought and bag a bronze in the biennial Asia-Pacific Golf Championships for the Nomura Cup.
The GST bill was earlier planned to be introduced from April 1.
The government is likely to present a "run-of-the-mill" budget with an fiscal slippage to 3.7 per cent of the GDP in the next fiscal from an earlier target of 3.5 per cent, a Nomura report says.
Shares of Bajaj Finance surged over 6 per cent on Thursday after the diversified non-banking finance company reported an 18 per cent increase in consolidated net profit to Rs 4,308 crore for the December quarter. The stock rallied 6.33 per cent intraday to touch Rs 8,249.95 - a 52-week high -- on the BSE.
"We expect GDP growth to slow from 7.3 per cent year-on-year in July-September 2016 to 6.0 per cent in October-December 2016 and 5.7 per cent in January-March 2017," Nomura said in a research note.
There are multiple laws dealing with insolvency in India, which lead to delays.
'Invest only in stocks of those companies that deliver on earnings and there is earnings visibility too for the next few quarters.'
The agency said the move on liquidity will lead to an ease in the situation.
Most global as well as domestic brokerages are upbeat on India's largest IT services provider, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), despite its performance during the December quarter of FY25, when it missed Street estimates. On the bourses, the TCS share price rallied as much as 6.44 per cent to hit an intraday high of Rs 4,296.80 apiece, before settling 5.67 per cent higher at Rs 4,265.55.
The scheme encourages retail investors to participate in capital markets.
Due to poor revenue mop-up, the government may miss it by 50 basis point.
Japanese brokerage Nomura has said a Narendra Modi-led government will help the rupee jump to 58 against the US dollar and trigger up to a 10 per cent rally in the stock market.
'We expect the Reserve Bank of India to deliver a 25 bps rate cut in April to support growth.'
Food delivery platform Zomato has laid the foundation for its third vertical of growth by agreeing to acquire Paytm's entertainment and ticketing business, said analysts on Thursday (August 22). Zomato, which also runs a quick commerce business called Blinkit, will strengthen its 'going out' offering but the acquisition may take time to yield results, they said. "Paytm's entertainment and ticketing arm will be part of Zomato's District app, which is due to be launched in the coming weeks.
Yet another foreign brokerage has said that it expects Narendra Modi-led BJP to come to power after the Lok Sabha elections.
Reliance Industries Ltd, India's most valuable company, is back on a growth path after six months of challenges as it posted better than expected earnings in the December quarter, brokerages said.
HSBC on Monday lowered India's GDP forecast for the current financial year to 4 per cent from 5.5 per cent earlier saying economic uncertainty is likely to weigh on the growth forecast in the coming months.
While there has been a rash of growth estimate cuts, including a 0.70 percentage point reduction by the RBI last month to 6.1 per cent, the Japanese brokerage's estimate is so far the lowest.
In the Budget speech, Arun Jaitley had first spoken about the need to have a range.
