Trading in the equity market this week will be highly influenced by a host of important triggers, with quarterly earnings from IT majors TCS, Wipro, and domestic inflation and IIP data taking the centre stage in dictating the movement in equities, analysts said. Besides, global factors and trading activity of foreign investors will also drive markets. "We are approaching the first quarter earnings season, with HCL Tech, TCS and Wipro set to report their earnings this week.
The reduction in holdings comes at a time when technology firms are facing cross currency headwinds due to volatility in the global financial markets
From the Sensex pack, Bajaj Finserv, HDFC Bank, Tata Motors, HCL Technologies, Tata Consultancy Services, Axis Bank, Infosys, IndusInd Bank, Tech Mahindra and Maruti were the major laggards. NTPC, Power Grid, Mahindra & Mahindra, JSW Steel, Bajaj Finance, ITC and Reliance Industries were among the gainers.
The rally in PSBs, analysts feel, was more a knee-jerk reaction to the development, and the actual benefits will start to accrue once the addition takes place in 2024. "The actual benefit for banks from the inclusion in JP Morgan's EM Index will accrue from June 2024 onwards. "Until then, the larger fundamentals of the market will dictate the moves. "Once the initial euphoria subsides, bond markets will look to global cues which may trigger fresh selling," said Siddharth Khemka, head of retail research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
Among Sensex stocks, Wipro gained the most by 3.29 per cent. Ultratech Cement, Reliance Industries, Hindustan Unilever, Nestle, NTPC, M&M, HDFC Bank, ITC, Kotak Bank and Axis Bank were among the winners. On the other hand, HCL Tech fell the most by 1.24 per cent. SBI, TCS, Infosys, IndusInd Bank and Tata Steel also dropped.
Benchmark equity indices Sensex and Nifty rebounded from early lows to settle higher on Wednesday following buying in Reliance Industries, Larsen & Toubro and ITC and positive trends in Asian and European markets. The 30-share BSE Sensex rose by 173.22 points or 0.26 per cent to settle at 66,118.69. The index opened lower and fell further to a low of 65,549.96 in morning trade.
From the Sensex pack, Larsen & Toubro, JSW Steel, IndusInd Bank, Power Grid, ITC, Mahindra & Mahindra, NTPC, HDFC Bank, ITC, Reliance Industries and Tata Motors were among the major laggards. Bajaj Finserv, Asian Paints Bajaj Finance, Bharti Airtel and Axis Bank were among the gainers.
Foreign inflows into the equity market appear to be chasing the prospect of a supposed game-changing BJP election victory, with the party's strong performance in recent state elections boosting these hopes
Domestic equity markets will be driven mainly by quarterly earnings, global trends, and the movement in crude oil prices in this holiday-shortened week, analysts said. Investors would also keep an eye on the Middle East amid the ongoing Hamas-Israel conflict and the trading activity of foreign investors. Markets will remain closed on Tuesday for Dussehra.
Attributing the fall in stock markets in the past few days to selling by FIIs, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee asserted on Wednesday that the fundamentals are strong and the economy will clock 8.5 per cent growth in the current financial year.
The markets ended lower on FII outflows and concerns over rising inflation.
From the Sensex pack, ICICI Bank, State Bank of India, Larsen & Toubro, Maruti, Tata Steel, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Bajaj Finance, Nestle, Power Grid and HDFC Bank were the major gainers. Jio Financial Services, Bharti Airtel, Tata Motors, Tech Mahindra, ITC, UltraTech Cement and Mahindra & Mahindra were among the laggards.
An analysis of shareholding patterns of three-listed airlines showed that foreign institutional investors have reduced their stakes in Kingfisher and SpiceJet while hiking their holdings in Jet Airways in three months ended December 2011.
Benchmark stock indices Sensex and Nifty fell for the third day running on Friday due to weak trends in global markets and soaring crude oil prices. Foreign fund outflows also weighed on investor sentiments amid strengthening US bond yields which are nearing 5 per cent for the first time since 2007. The 30-share BSE Sensex fell 231.62 points or 0.35 per cent to settle at 65,397.62.
'Historically, equities have consistently outperformed debt, gold, property, and other assets over a reasonable period.'
'The risk is in not being invested and missing out on an upmove.'
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) may consider measures to deal with foreign institutional investor (FII) inflows, which are emerging as a potential threat, said the central bank's Deputy Governor, Subir Gokarn, in Mumbai on Tuesday. His comments came a day after Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said there was no need for restrictions on foreign inflows, in an interview with a television channel.
Overseas investors have made net investments of $1.2 billion in the Indian equity market during the first week of the month, taking the total for 2012 so far to a whopping $21 billion.
FIIs' stake in Naresh Goyal-owned Jet Airways stood at 7.10 per cent during the three months through September, compared to 6.38 per cent during the first quarter of this financial year.
Foreign investors have pumped in over Rs 1 lakh crore in the Indian securities market since Narendra Modi was announced as the prime ministerial candidate by Bhartiya Janta Party (BJP) in September last year.
"What would be your advice for investors?" 'Keep it simple. Don't panic.'
According to market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India's regulations, FIIs are required to post collaterals for their transactions in the cash segment of the market.
Any sustainable increase in FII flows into the Indian markets would rest on the expectations of sustained improvement in the Indian economy.
The liquidity-driven market rally since September, which has seen about $2 billion of inflows into the Indian equity markets, has propelled the benchmark the S&P BSE Sensex to a new high after about six years.
Rashesh Shah, MD, Edelwiss Capital, said apart from participating in mega public offers, ADRs, and FCCB conversions, FIIs have started investing in the secondary markets over the last few weeks.
Continuing to bet on the government's reforms agenda, overseas investors have pumped in a whopping Rs 17,000 crore in the Indian capital market since the beginning of this month.Continuing to bet on the government's reforms agenda, overseas investors have pumped in a whopping Rs 17,000 crore in the Indian capital market since the beginning of this month.
India attracted $1.4 billion FIIs in November, says a report by HSBC.
Even as foreign institutional investors are rushing out of the Indian equity markets, there are fresh indications that their selling may accelerate in the coming weeks.
From the Sensex firms, Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, Infosys, Bharti Airtel, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Larsen & Toubro, Mahindra & Mahindra, ITC, Tech Mahindra, Tata Steel, Tata Motors, Titan, Reliance Industries and Nestle were the major winners. Hindustan Unilever, Power Grid, Axis Bank, Tata Consultancy Services, State Bank of India, Asian Paints and Wipro were the laggards.
In a major development on taxation of FII income, the Authority on Advance Ruling has ruled that income will now be taxed as capital gains and not business income.
Market experts attributed the huge sell-off to weakness in Indian currency.
Profit taking in Bajaj Finance, Nestle, Kotak Bank, SBI, Bharti Airtel L&T and Asian Paints also weighed on the benchmark index. Maruti bucked the trend by gaining 1.73 per cent after strong retails sales in September. Power Grid, M&M. JSW Steel and Tata Steel also advanced.
HDFC Bank's shares fell by 3.46 per cent to close the day at Rs 659 on the BSE. In intra-day session, the scrip lost 4 per cent to Rs 655.10.
This is the highest since May 2008, when the cumulative value of such investments stood at Rs 2,34,933 crore
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