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Rediff.com  » News » NDA projected to win 274-286 seats; Congress worst-ever at 72-82

NDA projected to win 274-286 seats; Congress worst-ever at 72-82

May 14, 2014 22:45 IST

According the latest CNN-IBN-CSDS-Lokniti post poll survey, the National Democratic Alliance is projected to win 274 to 286 seats, and the Bharatiya Janata Party is projected to win 230 to 242 seats on its own, it best ever poll tally.

The United Progressive Alliance projected to win 92 to 102 seats. The Congress is projected to win 72 to 82 seats on its own, its worst-ever poll tally. The Modi wave in Hindi heartland and Maharashtra will power NDA past 274 seats, according to the survey.

THE BIG NATIONAL PICTURE

 

PROJECTED SEATS

NDA

274 - 286

UPA

92-102

TMC

25--31

ADMK

22--28

Left Front

14--20

SP

13--17

BJD

12--16

YRSC

11--15

BSP

10--14

TRS

8--12

DMK+

7--11

AAP

3--7

 

COMPOSITION OF ALLIANCES (Major Parties)

 

 

BJP

230-242

INC

72-82

TDP

12--16

SS

10--14

RJD

8--12 

 

All India - Final Vote Estimate based on All Phases

Post Poll Survey-based Vote Estimate – All Phases

 

2014 Post Poll

Survey-based

vote estimate

(%)

UPA

26.0

NDA

40.0

Others

34.0

 

 

Post Poll Survey-based Vote Estimate

 

2014 Post Poll

Survey-based

vote estimate

(%)

Cong

22.5

Cong allies

3.5

BJP

33.5

BJP allies

6.5

BSP

4.5

Left

4.0

SP

3.5

AAP

3.0

Others

19.0

 

Special Coverage: Election 2014

-----------------------------------------

UTTAR PRADESH

After the final phase of polling BJP+ projected to get 39 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, up from 18% in 2009

Samajwadi Party projected to get 25 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, up from 23 per cent in 2009

BSP projected to get 22 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, down from 27 per cent in 2009

Cong-RLD projected to get 10% votes in Uttar Pradesh, down from 22% in 2009

BIHAR

BJP-LJP alliance projected to get 43 per cent votes in Bihar, up from 20 per cent in 2009

RJD-Cong alliance to get 30 per cent votes in Bihar, the same as in 2009

Janata Dal (United) to get only 15 per cent votes in Bihar, down from 24 per cent in 2009

 

WEST BENGAL

  • TMC projected to get 38 per cent votes in West Bengal, up from 31 per cent in 2009
  • Left Front projected to get 24 per cent votes in West Bengal, down from 43 per cent in 2009
  • BJP projected to get 15 per cent votes in West Bengal, up from 6 per cent in 2009
  • Congress projected to get 13 per cent votes in West Bengal, down from 14 per cent in 2009

UTTAR PRADESH

  • BJP highest vote-getter
  • BJP poaches BSP, Congress votes 

SEAT PROJECTION

BJP+Apna Dal

45-53

SP

13-17

BSP

10-14

Cong+RLD

3-5

 

VOTE SHARE

 

2009

POST-POLL’ 14

BJP+Apna Dal

17.5

39

SP

23.3

25

BSP

27.4

22

Cong+RLD

21.5

10

Others

10.3

4

  • BJP+ projected to get 39 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, up from 18 per cent in 2009
  • Samajwadi Party projected to get 25 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, up from 23% in 2009
  • BSP projected to get 22% votes in Uttar Pradesh, down from 27 per cent in 2009
  • Cong-RLD projected to get 10 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, down from 22 per cent in 2009

-----------------------------------------

BIHAR

MODI WAVE IN BIHAR

NITISH KUMAR TO BE DECIMATED

SEAT PROJECTION

BJP-LJP

21-27

Cong-RJD-NCP

11-15

JDU

2-4

VOTE SHARE

 

2009

POST-POLL’ 14

BJP-LJP

20.5

43

Cong-RJD-NCP

29.6

30

JDU

24.0

15

Others

25.9

12

  • BJP-LJP alliance projected to get 43 per cent votes in Bihar, up from 20 per cent in 2009
  • RJD-Cong alliance to get 30 per cent votes in Bihar, the same as in 2009
  • Janata Dal (United) to get only 15 per cent votes in Bihar, down from 24 per cent in 2009

-----------------------------------------

WEST BENGAL

  • MAMATA RULES IN WEST BENGAL
  • BJP DOUBLES VOTES IN W BENGAL

SEAT PROJECTION

AITC

25-31

Left Front

7-11

BJP

1-3

Cong

2-4

 

VOTE SHARE

 

2009

POST-POLL’ 14

AITC

31.2

38

Left Front

43.3

24

BJP

6.1

15

Cong

13.5

13

Others

5.9

10

TMC projected to get 38 per cent votes in West Bengal, up from 31 per cent in 2009

Left Front projected to get 24 per cent votes in West Bengal, down from 43 per cent in 2009

BJP projected to get 15 per cent votes in West Bengal, up from 6 per cent in 2009

Congress projected to get 13 per cent votes in West Bengal, down from 14 per cent in 2009