Growth will be elusive without structural reforms but there's reason to believe that it will be upwardly mobile from now on.
Private consumption is looking up and will get better as the full effect of the good monsoon is felt on rural income, and the effect of the payout from the Seventh Pay Commission is felt on urban income, say Anis Chakravarty & Rishi Shah.
The rupee's plunging to record level and a sharp fall in the equity market are knee-jerk investor reactions to the US Federal Reserve's saying the it will slow down bond-buying programme in view of improving American economy.
Businesses are still taking time to adjust in the new tax regime, which would weigh on growth rates for the financial year closing today.
Inflation dipped to a five-month low of 5.19 per cent in July mainly on account of decline in prices of some food articles, vegetables and protein rich items.
The consumer durables segment declined by 23.4 per cent in June, as against a dip of 10.1 per cent a year ago.
Though inflation, on the basis of the wholesale price index, is nowhere near the 1990-91 level of 10.26 per cent and India is in a much better position to check it, the greater integration of our economy with the globe has exposed it to a much higher risk of imported inflation.