With this subdued forecast, India is likely to record its worst growth performance since the 1991 liberalisation. However, it is among the only two major economies, which will register a positive growth rate in 2020. The other being China, for which the IMF has projected a growth rate of 1.2 per cent.
Take the rediff business quiz and see how much you know about the International Monetary Fund
The avoidable stresses and strains in ties helped in one way. It showed for the entire region how a matured India handled diplomatic relations, especially with a smaller and suspicious neighbour, with practised dignity and patience, unruffled by provocations in word, deed and action, observes N Sathiya Moorthy.
The Indian economy is reviving, helped by positive policy actions.
Nepal's macroeconomic performance has been held back by the earthquakes and the recent unrest and disruptions to transportation and trade routes following the promulgation of a new constitution, the IMF said has said.
The question is whether this would mean any change in IMF's policies, particularly on the question of what to forgo out of the impossible trinity of an independent monetary policy, managed exchange rates and a liberal capital account.
The IMF on Tuesday projected an impressive 12.5 per cent growth rate for India in 2021, stronger than that of China, the only major economy to have a positive growth rate last year during the COVID-19 pandemic. The Washington-based global financial institution, in its annual World Economic Outlook ahead of the annual Spring meeting with the World Bank, said the Indian economy is expected to grow by 6.9 per cent in 2022. Notably in 2020, India's economy contracted by a record eight per cent, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said as it projected an impressive 12.5 per cent growth rate for the country in 2021.
IMF said in 2017, India is likely to grow at the rate of 7.2 per cent instead of the earlier projected 7.6 per cent.
Ahead of India's annual budget presentation next week, IMF's chief economist Gita Gopinath has favoured the extension of the pandemic support measures, thrust on investment in infrastructure and expanding health sectors programmes like Ayushman Bharat, and a very credible divestment path for commercially viable companies. The Indian government has provided a lot of schemes for small and medium enterprises, most of which is in the form of liquidity support, Gopinath told PTI on Tuesday. "And you want to revisit it and see how effectively that is working and see whether additional support may need to be provided," she said while responding to a question on her recommendations to Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, ahead of her presentation of the annual Union Budget on February 1. It would be a good time for banks and Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) to raise capital given the attractiveness of financing conditions at this point, she said.
Modi for completion of IMF quota reforms at earliest
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has lowered its real export growth forecast for India for 2008 to 13.2 per cent from its April forecast of 16.3 per cent.
A continued focus on low inflation will be important to keeping gold imports, IMF said.
Reserve Bank Governor Raghuram Rajan today criticised multilateral institutions like the IMF and the World Bank saying "they are not immune to cognitive capture".
The International Monetary Fund head Dominique Strauss-Kahn has said the Indian economy is recovering well and New Delhi would get higher quota in the IMF board, review of which is currently underway, reflecting its enhanced economic standing.
India's growth projection released by the latest World Economic Outlook remains unchanged from its previous WEO (World Economic Outlook) update of July this summer but is a three-percentage point in 2021 and 1.6 percentage point drop from its April projections. According to the latest WEO update, released ahead of the annual meeting of the IMF and the World Bank, the world is expected to grow at 5.9 per cent in 2021 and 4.9 per cent in 2022.
Greece was an opportunity for the IMF to set a precedent for an orderly debt resolution programme.
India's foreign exchange reserves increased $2.95 billion to $645.58 billion for the week ended March 29, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said on Friday. This is the sixth consecutive week of a jump in overall reserves. The kitty had increased $140 million to $642.63 billion in the previous reporting week.
IMF's Chief Economist Gita Gopinath on Thursday said it would be damaging for India to start tightening policy support in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic and also stressed on reducing wasteful expenditures in the upcoming Budget. Delivering NCAER's '9th C D Deshmukh Lecture' virtually, Gopinath said there is scope for the Indian government to provide more direct support to people.
India's forex reserves jumped by $2.98 billion to a fresh peak of $648.56 billion for the week ended April 5, the RBI said on Friday. In the previous reporting week, the forex kitty had increased by $2.951 billion to $645.583 billion, which was an all-time high. In September 2021, the country's forex kitty reached an all-time high of $642.453 billion, a level that was breached in March this year.
The IMF proposals will be reviewed by the finance ministers of G-20, whose representatives are in Washington for meetings this week, The Post reported.
India's forex reserves decreased $2.282 billion to $640.33 billion for the seven days ended April 19 in the second consecutive week of drop in the kitty, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said on Friday. The reserves had dropped $5.40 billion to $643.16 billion in the previous reporting week, ending a multi-week trend of an increase, which also saw the overall reserves touching a new all-time high of $$648.56 billion for the week ended April 5.
India's forex reserves increased by $6.4 billion to $642.49 billion for the week ended March 15, the Reserve Bank said on Friday. In the previous reporting week, the overall reserves had risen by $10.47 billion to $636.09 billion. In October 2021, the country's forex kitty had reached an all-time high of $645 billion.
India's forex reserves jumped by $2.97 billion to $619.07 billion for the week ended February 23, the Reserve Bank said on Friday. In the previous reporting week, the overall reserves had dropped by $1.13 billion to $616.10 billion. For the week ending February 23, the foreign currency assets, a major component of the reserves, increased by $2.40 billion to $548.19 billion.
the GDP estimates incorporate new source data and modified compilation techniques
Horst Koehler, managing director of International Monetary Fund, has announced his resignation after being nominated to become the German President.
The country secured a euro 7.16 billion bridge financing from the European Financial Stability Mechanism
Subramanian recommended five ways of financing additional expenditure over a period of one year, including cutting expenditure and borrowing directly from the RBI or monetising debt.
India's forex kitty jumped by $10.47 billion to $636.09 billion for the week ended March 8, the Reserve Bank said on Friday. In the previous reporting week, the overall reserves had risen by $6.55 billion to $625.63 billion. In October 2021, the country's forex kitty had reached an all-time high of $645 billion.
The global lending agency also said that Brexit has resulted in global economic uncertainty.
Admitting that the economy may be impacted if the monsoon is inadequate, the government on Monday said the growth rate in 2009 will not fall to the levels being projected by international agencies like the IMF and the World Bank.
The current Euro-Atlantic Monetary Fund must become an International Monetary Fund.
Lagarde had said an Indian could head IMF.
However, India is likely to regain the tag of the fastest growth emerging economies of the world in 2018.
IMF attributes the slower growth rate to supply-side bottlenecks.
'Will Imran compromise with the army? We are all human beings. We all compromise.'
Cash-strapped Pakistan on Tuesday moved closer to securing a massive $11 billion economic bailout package from international donor agencies including the IMF, to revive the ailing national economy.
'If there is a push towards a Marxist oriented government it will be dangerous.' 'We have seen this in Nepal and Myanmar and it will be a concern for India if it is surrounded by countries with such political dispensations.'
