The risk-reward for the Indian markets, Morgan Stanley said, is turning favourable.
The private sector's new project announcements in the quarter ending March were among the highest on record. The value of new private sector project announcements for the three months ending March 2024 was Rs 9.8 trillion, shows data from tracker Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). This is the second-highest on record in data going back to 2009.
Expenditure on new projects slowed down for the second quarter in a row amid an uncertain global environment and higher borrowing costs. There were new projects worth a cumulative Rs 3.26 trillion in the July-September period, according to data provided by project tracker Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). This figure is much less than Rs 4.39 trillion in the June quarter (Q1FY23) and Rs 8.46 trillion in the March quarter (Q4FY22).
Coalition governments aren't necessarily a negative for the economy, though they can result in negative outcomes in the stock market if not already priced in before elections.
Bank has cited trend of global easing and weak growth
A section of the market believes RBI should hold rates as negative real rates will hurt savings and investment.
Morgan Stanley expects RBI to cut rates sharply rather than "dribble down".
The companies' underrecoveries stood at a whopping Rs 1,39,869 crore last financial year. Of that, Rs 62,837 crore was accounted for by diesel alone.