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Rupee snaps 4-day gaining string

Source: PTI
Last updated on: May 20, 2014 18:40 IST
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Ending a four-day upmove, the rupee on Tuesday retreated four paise from its 11-month high levels to close at 58.63 against the dollar on fresh demand for the US currency from importers, amid some profit-booking in stocks.

While a better dollar overseas too weighed on the rupee, continued capital inflows capped losses, a forex dealer said.

At the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market, the local unit resumed slightly weak at 58.60 a dollar from last close or 58.59. It moved in a range of 58.51 and 58.79, before

settling at 58.63, a fall of four paise or 0.07 per cent.

This marks an end to the rupee's rally from May 13 when in four sessions it spurted by 146 paise or 2.43 per cent.

Pramit Brahmbhatt, Veracity Group CEO said, "The next major support for USDINR pair is at 58.00 levels, near to this levels RBI is expected to intervene and also importers are

expected to enter in the market. The trading range for the Spot USD/INR pair is expected to be within 58.25 to 59.25."

The Indian equity benchmark S&P BSE Sensex today closed up by a mere 14 points, or 0.06 per cent. FIIs had infused $242.89 million yesterday, as per Sebi data, making it $2.44 billion in the current month so far.

Narendra Modi, who steered BJP and the NDA to a landslide victory in the Lok Sabha elections, was today appointed Prime Minister, ushering in a new era of a non-Congress government with an absolute majority on its own in 30 years. He will take oath on May 26.

"It is expected that Modi government should not take much time in decision making as there will be no problem in reaching at consensus for major issues. But then in the medium term, rupee is expected to be buoyed by the global factors like tapering of US asset purchase, movement of interest rates in US," said Abhishek Goenka, CEO, India Forex Advisors.

According to Goenka, in the worst-case scenario rupee may move up to 62-63 levels against the dollar while in the best-case model the local currency could appreciate to below 57.50 mark.

Meanwhile, premium for forward dollar remained weak on sustained receipts by exporters. The benchmark six-month premium payable in October recovered to 205-207 paise from 200.5-202.5 paise previously.

Far-forward contracts maturing in April, 2015 also bounced back to 426-428 paise from 412-414 paise. The Reserve Bank of India fixed the reference rate for dollar at 58.7455 and for the euro at 80.5261.

The rupee fell back against the pound to 98.69 from last close of 98.55. It, however, remained firm against the euro to 80.32 from 80.37. The rupee improved further against the Japanese yen to 57.85 per 100 Japanese yen from 57.94. 

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