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2013 assembly elections: What the exit polls are saying

Last updated on: December 04, 2013 21:54 IST

2013 assembly elections: What the exit-polls are saying

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Exit polls on television channels on Monday predicted a clear win for the BJP in Madhya Pradesh and Delhi, while the polls suggest a tie between Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party and the Congress with around 18 seats each and a vote share of 28 per cent in Delhi.

 Chhattisgarh

Seat projection

2013

2008

Bharatiya Janata Party 

45-55 

(50)

Congress

32-40

(38)

Others 

1-7

(2)

CNN IBN-The Week post-poll study in Chhattisgarh projects:

42 per cent vote share for the BJP

38% vote share for the Congress

Post-poll study estimates the BJP may secure between 45 and 55 seats

Post-poll study estimates the Congress may secure between 32 and 40

A massive 81 per cent respondents say they are satisfied with the BJP government

46 per cent respondents name Raman Singh as preferred choice for Chhattisgarh chief minister

21 per cent respondents name the Congress’ Ajit Jogi as preferred choice

 

Madhya Pradesh

Seat projection

2013 

2008

Bharatiya Janata Party 

136-146

(143)

Congress

67-77

(71)

Others 

13-21

(16)

CNN IBN-The Week post-poll study in Madhya Pradesh projects:

The BJP may get 41 per cent vote share

The Congress may get 35 per cent

The BJP may get between 136 and 146 seats

The Congress may get between 67 and 77 seats

72 per cent respondents say they are satisfied with the BJP government in MP

74 per cent respondents say they are satisfied with Shivraj Singh Chouhan as CM

Among options for preferred CM, 45 per cent back Shivraj Singh; 26 per cent prefer Jyotiraditya Scindia

 

Rajasthan

Seat projection

2013 

2008

Bharatiya Janata Party 

126-136

(78)

Congress

49-57

(96)

Others 

12-20

(26)

CNN IBN-The Week post-poll study in Rajasthan projects:

9 per cent gain for the BJP in Rajasthan; may secure 43 per cent vote share

4 per cent drop for the Congress; may secure 33 per cent vote share

The BJP may secure between 126 and 136 seats

The Congress may secure between 49 and 57 seats

Ashok Gehlot government’s satisfaction level drops to 56 per cent as opposed to 68 per cent of Vasundhara Raje in 2008

50 per cent respondents say that the ruling Gehlot government does not deserve another chance

49 per cent respondents say they prefer Vasundhara Raje as Rajasthan CM; only 27 per cent prefer Gehlot.

 

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Image: Last-minute preparations at a polling booth
Photographs: Chandra Mohan Aloria

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ABP News-Nielsen Exit Poll for New Delhi

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ABP News-Nielsen Exit Poll for New Delhi

BJP is likely to win with full majority with 37 seats in Delhi assembly polls:

Party

Actual vote percentage in the 2008 assembly elections

Actual seats in the 2008 assembly elections

Vote Share percentage as per the opinion poll in November 2013   

Seats as per the Exit poll in November 2013

INC

40.46

41

29

16

BJP

36.76

24

33

37

AAP

  

28

15

Independent& others

22.8

5

10

2

Total

100

70

100

70

 Madhya Pradesh

The BJP is likely to make a hat-trick with 138 seats in Madhya Pradesh

Party

Actual vote percentage in the 2008 assembly elections

Actual seats in the 2008 assembly elections

Vote Share percentage as per the opinion poll in November 2013   

Seats as per the Exit poll in November 2013

INC

32.1

66

33

80

BJP

37.9

148

39

138

BSP

9.1

7

9

6

BJSH

4.9

5

  

Independent& others

100

230

100

70

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Image: EVM machines wait for the big day outside a polling booth
Photographs: Chandra Mohan Aloria

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