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It's time to move out of 'Chindia' December 08, 2007 Whoever the author, the idea was clever as a sales gimmick, to offer an alternative to the India-Pakistan mindset that prevailed internationally, and instead to club China with India in the world's thought processes, as a way of getting people to look at India differently and to take the ever-underperforming India more seriously. It also had an obvious validity: the two countries are neighbours in Asia, both are large, both were victims of 19th century imperialism, both now lead the pack of emerging markets, both have the biggest populations and then some, and both are growing rapidly and have huge long-term potential. So, the big international companies who were waking up to Asia beyond Japan and who felt they had to choose where to invest, in China or India, were told: Do both, you can't ignore either. Invest therefore in Chindia. The time may have come, however, to rue that clever gambit, and to attempt what in contemporary phrasing is called a "de-coupling", because the sins of China are now being visited on India. China will soon be the world's largest emitter of gases that cause global warming; so when you have Chindia on your brain, you blame India as well - though the level of emissions in the two countries is vastly different. That may have raised China's hackles, but it is not fooled. It knows perfectly well that the Indian economy is barely a third of China's, and it therefore worries about competition from India about as much as India worries about competition from Indonesia (whose economy is a third of India's). What makes the whole thing ironic is that the two countries are as unlike each other as chalk and cheese. One is a single-party dictatorship, the other a multi-party democracy; one claims to be more communist than it is in reality, the other remains surprisingly statist despite having embraced capitalism; China has succeeded in manufacturing, India in services; China's growth is export-driven, India focuses more on the domestic market (domestic consumption accounts for barely half the share of GDP in China that it does in India); China taxes international companies at a fraction of the rates it imposes on domestic firms, India if anything has done the opposite. Powered by More Guest Columns | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||