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Rediff.com  » Business » Majority don't expect policy rate cut by RBI: Survey

Majority don't expect policy rate cut by RBI: Survey

Source: PTI
October 25, 2012 15:30 IST
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A majority of India Inc have little expectations from the Reserve Bank of India's second quarter monetary policy review on October 30 given the macro-fundamentals of the economy, with 53 percent not foreseeing any reduction in the policy rate, says a survey.

However, the RBS in a pre-policy client survey released on Thursday observed the market is gearing towards a softening in the interest rates in the long-term, say beginning March.

The Reserve Bank will unveil its busy season credit policy next Tuesday, where it is widely expected that Governor Subbarao will leave all the key rates unchanged due to the persistently high inflation, which in August stood at 7.81 percent.

Many analysts and economists are also saying that it is too early for the government to expect anything dramatic on the interest rate regime despite the recent reform measures.

But there is also a section in the industry and academia who call for some reciprocal measures from the Mint Road, at least symbolically which can go a long way in boosting the sentiment.

Currently, CRR is pegged at 4.50 percent, while repo is tied at 8 percent, after the tweaking in the March-April period.

While half (50.9 percent) the respondents don't expect any change in the CRR, around 49 percent are looking at a 25-50 bps cut in the same on next Tuesday.

Significantly, around 53 percent of the respondents expect no cut in the repo or the short-term lending rates, while the rest expect a 25 bps cut, RBS said in the survey.

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