N Sathiya Moorthy

N Sathiya Moorthy, veteran journalist and political analyst, is Distinguished Fellow and Head-Chennai Initiative of Observer Research Foundation. You can e-mail the author at sathiyam54@gmail.com

All stories by N Sathiya Moorthy

Why Rajini's 'Periyar row' is not a vote-catcher

Why Rajini's 'Periyar row' is not a vote-catcher

Rediff.com1 days ago

If the Congress lost in Tamil Nadu in 1967, never to return, or the DMK and the AIADMK have kept their place in power and electoral politics since then, it owes not to their love or hatred for gods or for one religion over another. Instead, they had always been linked to performance and incumbency/anti-incumbency factors. There may be something in such constructs for Rajini's strategic team to consider, especially if the superstar is to enter direct politics by around this time next year. But then, they would need to brush up their homework more than at present, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Stalin buries hatchet with TN Congress, but for how long?

Stalin buries hatchet with TN Congress, but for how long?

Rediff.com3 days ago

The truce, even if it is not permanence peace, will come under stress and test during the pending polls to rural local bodies in nine revenue districts and urban polls across the state, including those for 16 municipal corporations, starting with Chennai, the oldest and largest, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

AIADMK falls to anti-CAA sentiment in TN local polls

AIADMK falls to anti-CAA sentiment in TN local polls

Rediff.com3 Jan 2020

Will the AIADMK acknowledge the role of CAA and the anti-CAA protests, both inside the state and outside, as among the causes for the current electoral reversal, as many in the party now want? It is unlikely to be so, but then the pressure will increase on the leadership to reassess the BJP alliance at one level and the 'blind support' for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's controversial policies on the other, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Can India trust Gota and the Rajapaksas?

Can India trust Gota and the Rajapaksas?

Rediff.com5 Dec 2019

New Delhi is approaching Gota with an open mind, observes N Sathiya Moorthy.

Bypolls won, AIADMK may pad up for local body polls

Bypolls won, AIADMK may pad up for local body polls

Rediff.com25 Oct 2019

But the question before the leadership will be whether to retain the BJP alliance or dump it, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

AIADMK cadres are wary about Modi-Xi show

AIADMK cadres are wary about Modi-Xi show

Rediff.com19 Sep 2019

'To them, the day may not be far off when the state BJP starts claiming and propagating that Modi is next only to AIADMK's late boss Jayalalithaa,' says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Will NIA, instant talaq laws impact Vellore poll outcome?

Will NIA, instant talaq laws impact Vellore poll outcome?

Rediff.com31 Jul 2019

'It may take the AIADMK much more convincing than already, not only to try and bring around even the one-time Muslim voters of the party. 'More importantly, the party leadership may find it even more difficult to convince traditional party voters and cadres, who had admired Jaya's nonchalance to the party and leader ruling the Centre,' says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Why Yeddy may not be BJP's best bet in Karnataka

Why Yeddy may not be BJP's best bet in Karnataka

Rediff.com26 Jul 2019

In true Karnataka political style, which cuts across parties and loyalties, any reinstatement of Yeddiyurappa, even with adequate legislative majority, could trigger rebellion from within, which could embarrass the Modi-Shah duo than any other development elsewhere in the country, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

A schizo polity called Tamil Nadu

A schizo polity called Tamil Nadu

Rediff.com11 Jun 2019

Why did such a 'socially conscientious' people adapt to cash-for-votes and the like, as fish to water? N Sathiya Moorthy offers an explanation.

Why the 'pro-Hindi' lobby in Tamil Nadu has got it wrong

Why the 'pro-Hindi' lobby in Tamil Nadu has got it wrong

Rediff.com5 Jun 2019

Flowing from an inadequate understanding of Tamil history and politics is an urban elitist mindset that does not seem to be able to touch and feel the real angst of the larger Tamil-speaking masses, cutting across the social and economic status of the individual, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Modi's election 2019 is a repeat of Indira's in 1971

Modi's election 2019 is a repeat of Indira's in 1971

Rediff.com29 May 2019

Allegations of strains on democratic and constitutional institutions across the board, security threats from outside, a greedy Opposition inside, were all a part of the package then as now, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Elections reaffirm TN as a Dravidian fort

Elections reaffirm TN as a Dravidian fort

Rediff.com25 May 2019

With DMK's M K Stalin coming into his own, and the rival AIADMK too leaving no space for third parties, Tamil Nadu will remain a Dravidian stronghold for a long time, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Why BJP and AIADMK got swept away in TN

Why BJP and AIADMK got swept away in TN

Rediff.com24 May 2019

The DMK combine has won 37 of the 38 LS constituencies in Tamil Nadu, and bagged 13 of the 22 assembly bypolls. What swept away the AIADMK-BJP alliance in the southern state was not dravidian ideology but job loss and graft bias, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

EPS may have nothing much to fear from assembly by-poll results

EPS may have nothing much to fear from assembly by-poll results

Rediff.com22 May 2019

Should the ruling AIADMK in Tamil Nadu not make the required five out of 22 by-election seats, or even otherwise, the temptation to poach, especially from the Congress or starting with the Congress may be high on Chief Minister Edappadi K Palanisami's agenda, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Why Kamal Haasan made the Godse remark now

Why Kamal Haasan made the Godse remark now

Rediff.com15 May 2019

'The Godse controversy may have helped Kamal Haasan reach out to a larger audience, both inside the state and outside, coming as it does when the main campaign for elections 19 is over and only those in the four assembly bypoll constituencies are drudging along,' says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Ahead of bypolls and results, AIADMK displays unusual nerves

Ahead of bypolls and results, AIADMK displays unusual nerves

Rediff.com3 May 2019

The ruling party's decision to serve 'disqualification' notice to three party MLAs when polling for four more assembly by-elections are due for May 19 may have been taken to keep the flock together post-results, rather than seek to lose more than already, but it has sent out alarming signals in a state ruled till recently by an Iron Lady, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

10 days after Sri Lanka's Easter blasts, questions remain

10 days after Sri Lanka's Easter blasts, questions remain

Rediff.com1 May 2019

Even as the polity find ways and means to address the genuine concerns and fears of the society, the Sri Lankan State apparatus would have to unravel these mystery-questions with convincing answers, and a road-map to the future, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Will winner take all in Tamil Nadu?

Will winner take all in Tamil Nadu?

Rediff.com17 Apr 2019

With election campaign ending in Tamil Nadu before it goes to polls on Thursday, N Sathiya Moorthy lists a few questions uppermost in the minds of voters.

Sai's Take: Ek baar phir Modi Sarkar?

Sai's Take: Ek baar phir Modi Sarkar?

Rediff.com9 Apr 2019

Cassandras and Congressis may sneer at the findings, but the Times Now poll indicated that the Modi government was very much on its way to a second term.

Why Hindutva vote is unable to grow in TN

Why Hindutva vote is unable to grow in TN

Rediff.com8 Apr 2019

In a state where Hindu social identity continues to remain in the overarching Dravida umbrella, the 'Hindutva' political identity does not have the same, or even near-similar electoral purchase, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Stalin wages lone battle against Oppn full blast

Stalin wages lone battle against Oppn full blast

Rediff.com1 Apr 2019

The DMK has Stalin and Stalin alone as the key campaigner. The rest of them all, including half-sister Kanimozhi, are tied down to their own constituencies while those like party treasurer and former minister S Duraimurugan, to those of their children's constituencies.

Hardly a drop to drink, but water not a poll issue for Dravidian majors

Hardly a drop to drink, but water not a poll issue for Dravidian majors

Rediff.com26 Mar 2019

At first look, the reader would be aghast at the similarities in the DMK and AIADMK's manifestos, wondering if the same hand had drafted both. Yet, when it comes to drinking water and irrigation supplies, both parties are equally silent on the subject -- as if summer did not exist, as didn't water scarcity, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Modi needs to remember negativism doesn't sell

Modi needs to remember negativism doesn't sell

Rediff.com19 Mar 2019

BJP strategists need to remember even at this late hour that 'negativism' sells when you are in the Opposition as the Indian voter has mostly voted anti-incumbency, and not when you are in power. You still needed to highlight your achievements and promises, and let the voter draw his conclusions, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Was Vijaykanth the villain who stole Modi's thunder in TN?

Was Vijaykanth the villain who stole Modi's thunder in TN?

Rediff.com7 Mar 2019

If Vijaykanth and his party stole the media thunder, which lingered in the viewers' mind even while watching Prime Minister Modi's thunderous campaign speech, the latter suffered also owing to visible 'disconnects', says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Cong has more pro-minority votes to offer DMK this time

Cong has more pro-minority votes to offer DMK this time

Rediff.com21 Feb 2019

However, the tilting factor still remains: Can the rivalling 'Modi brand' of 'soft Hindutva' and 'hard-sell nationalism' garner more votes for the NDA in Tamil Nadu, asks N Sathiya Moorthy.

AIADMK ties up Lok Sabha allies but with eye on assembly bypolls

AIADMK ties up Lok Sabha allies but with eye on assembly bypolls

Rediff.com20 Feb 2019

'Of equal importance was the AIADMK's precarious assembly membership, what with 11 of its MLAs including deputy chief minister OPS facing court cases for disqualification and by-elections due in another 21. To shore up the party's numbers for anticipated eventuality on the 11-MLAs' front, the AIADMK leadership in general and chief minister EPS in particular, were even more focussed on assembly seats than LS seats, just now,' says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Lotus blooms in Rajini's hint of water politics

Lotus blooms in Rajini's hint of water politics

Rediff.com18 Feb 2019

Rajini's call may now force other political parties, including the DMK and the Congress, who are in alliance talks already, to come up with water proposals of their own in their poll manifesto. In a way, this may be a 'tactical victory' for Rajinikanth, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

EPS does a Jaya but like her, can he keep the BJP at bay?

EPS does a Jaya but like her, can he keep the BJP at bay?

Rediff.com5 Feb 2019

In the absence of the over-arching 'Jaya charisma', EPS has to convince the AIADMK's traditional constituencies, including those in his western districts, that his leadership would stand up against the BJP-led Centre even in a post-poll scenario, a la Jayalalithaa, and would not yield as much as party founder MGR had done, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Alas, Petta is not Rajini's ticket to politics

Alas, Petta is not Rajini's ticket to politics

Rediff.com14 Jan 2019

Rajinikanth is yet to identify a filmi platform to be able to launch his political career from the celluloid platform as only MGR had done, successfully and in the pre-IT era, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

With quota politics is Modi playing V P Singh v2.0?

With quota politics is Modi playing V P Singh v2.0?

Rediff.com9 Jan 2019

'Rather than 'consolidate' the Hindu majority votes, as the BJP-RSS combine has been known and wont to try, this time round PM Modi has himself taken the party to the next step, by seeking to create a new divide within the majority community, a la V P Singh in his time.'

Why weekend box-office stars can't make it in 21st century TN politics

Why weekend box-office stars can't make it in 21st century TN politics

Rediff.com7 Jan 2019

Rajinikanth and Kamalahaasan's new generation movies of the twenty-first century may make bigger money than their earlier films but leave behind a lesser impact. That would make the difference between their success and failure as politicians, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Why Stalin jumped the gun on naming Rahul for PM

Why Stalin jumped the gun on naming Rahul for PM

Rediff.com18 Dec 2018

For Stalin and the DMK, the declaration was the essence of the commencement of seat-sharing talks with the Congress, and even more, the launch of their combined campaign for the LS polls. That meant the DMK had to send out a message also to the 'minorities' in the state, who had deserted the DMK and very badly at that in the critical, post-Jaya R K Nagar assembly bypolls last year, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

For Rahul, the real test has just begun

For Rahul, the real test has just begun

Rediff.com13 Dec 2018

From lining up allies to having them accept him as the Opposition's prime ministerial candidate in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, Congress president Rahul Gandhi's real challenge has just begun, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Minor parties in TN caught in identity crisis

Minor parties in TN caught in identity crisis

Rediff.com7 Dec 2018

Contest on their own and get washed out, as happened in the 2016 assembly elections? Or contest in league with one of the Dravidian majors and get submerged under its election symbol? With elections looming, minor political parties in Tamil Nadu are caught in this dilemma, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

TN parties brace for 'mini general elections'

TN parties brace for 'mini general elections'

Rediff.com15 Nov 2018

Whenever they are announced, the bypolls to 20 assembly seats in Tamil Nadu will be a mini referendum on the state government's performance. It will also be a do-or-die battle for the ruling AIADMK, opposition DMK, as well as the rebel AMMK, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Tamil bloc may hold the key in Lanka's power struggle

Tamil bloc may hold the key in Lanka's power struggle

Rediff.com1 Nov 2018

In a Sri Lankan House of 225 members, the cut-off figure comes to 113. With Wickremesinghe side touching 102 and Rajapaksa's team at 101, the three-party Tamil National Alliance with 16 members and the left-leaning Sinhala-Buddhist nationalist Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna with 6 members hold the key. But with the latter declaring that they will not support either formation in a vote count,that leaves the TNA as the deciding factor, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

With HC verdict TN govt is safe, but not sound

With HC verdict TN govt is safe, but not sound

Rediff.com25 Oct 2018

Every vote now counts in the Tamil Nadu assembly, as the ruling party is walking on a wafer-thin majority. The Opposition DMK-led combine has 98 MLAs on their side, and with four others who had won on the AIADMK's 'Two Leaves' symbol in 2016 but do not belong to the party, per se, playing hide-and-seek with the party leadership, Dhinakaran with two or three other MLAs can give sleepless nights for the ruling party than their post-verdict celebrations may seemingly indicate, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Institutions continue to be clouded in attacks in Tamil Nadu, but...

Institutions continue to be clouded in attacks in Tamil Nadu, but...

Rediff.com12 Oct 2018

The 'Raj Bhavan/Nakkeeran Gopal case', in which editor S Gopal was arrested in the morning and set free by the court in the afternoon, is not the first one where the Tamil Nadu's once-reputed police force is seen as faltering in the eye of the law, says N Sathiya Moorthy.

Will Veerappan aides' case impact Rajiv killers' freedom?

Will Veerappan aides' case impact Rajiv killers' freedom?

Rediff.com20 Sep 2018

'A precedent in the Rajv killers' plea for freedom may flow from slain brigand Veerappan's 2000 demand for the release of 109 associates languishing in prisons in Karnataka for him to release abducted Kannada matinee icon, the late Rajkumar.' 'Acting on a petition filed by the father of a Karnataka cadre IPS officer killed by Veerappan, the Supreme Court reversed the orders of lower court orders in Tamil Nadu and Karnataka.' 'If democratically-elected governments give an impression to the citizens of this country of being law-breakers, would it not breed contempt for the law? Would it not invite citizens to become a law unto themselves?' the Supreme Court had observed on the occasion, recalls N Sathiya Moorthy.

Will Veerappan aides' case impact Rajiv killers' freedom?

Will Veerappan aides' case impact Rajiv killers' freedom?

Rediff.com20 Sep 2018

'A precedent in the Rajv killers' plea for freedom may flow from slain brigand Veerappan's 2000 demand for the release of 109 associates languishing in prisons in Karnataka for him to release abducted Kannada matinee icon, the late Rajkumar.' 'Acting on a petition filed by the father of a Karnataka cadre IPS officer killed by Veerappan, the Supreme Court reversed the orders of lower court orders in Tamil Nadu and Karnataka.' 'If democratically-elected governments give an impression to the citizens of this country of being law-breakers, would it not breed contempt for the law? Would it not invite citizens to become a law unto themselves?' the Supreme Court had observed on the occasion, recalls N Sathiya Moorthy.

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