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The 2020 Delhi elections sentiment meter is here

February 03, 2020 17:50 IST

The 2020 assembly election in Delhi seems to be a two-party contest where the Bharatiya Janata Party is trying hard to seize power from the ruling Aam Aadmi Party.

The Congress, currently having no MLA in Delhi Assembly, is unlikely to make any big difference. 

Rediff Labs analysed the 2015 assembly election results to develop a Sentiment Meter for the 2020 battle in Delhi.

 

A mathematical model is used to calculate how seat distribution will be altered as sentiment/percentage of votes towards a contesting political party changes.

Based on the change, each constituency is marked with the winning party. A swing represents that the victory margin is close to the runner-up party.

The below map shows that the AAP is most likely to retain power as even a 10 per cent swing in BJP's favour is not giving the latter more than 11 seats.

The Congress is again drawing a blank in cases of no swing in its favour.

Move the pointer on the Sentiment Meter (depending on who you think will get more votes) towards the political parties to see how the outcome is likely to change.

For more data driven journalism, check out Rediff Labs

Rediff Labs