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Rediff.com  » News » Exit polls: Cong takes Raj, tight race in MP, C'garh; TRS holds Telangana

Exit polls: Cong takes Raj, tight race in MP, C'garh; TRS holds Telangana

Last updated on: December 07, 2018 22:30 IST

In Mizoram, opposition MNF likely to end 10-year Congress rule.

IMAGE: Congress president Rahul Gandhi with party leaders Sachin Pilot, Ashok Gehlot and others during a public meeting in Chittorgarh. Photograph: PTI Photo

Exit polls on Friday predicted a tight finish between the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Congress in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, and a win for the opposition party in Rajasthan.

They also predicted that the ruling Telangana Rashtra Samiti in Telangana will retain power.

Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan are all ruled by the BJP presently.

While Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat gave 108-128 seats to the BJP and 95-115 to the Congress in the 230-member Madhya Pradesh, India Today-Axis said the saffron party could win 102-120 seats as against 104-122 for the Congress.

 

However, the Times Now-CNX exit poll predicted a majority for the BJP in MP with 126 seats and gave the Congress a tally of 89 seats.

Rajasthan (199 seats)
  Congress BJP Others
NDTV 112 78 0
India Today-Axis My India 119-141 55-72 4-11
Times Now-CNX 105 85 9
Zee Rajasthan 110 80 9
First India Rajasthan 110-115 65-70 15-25
news x-neta 112 80 7
India tv 100-110 80-90 7-11
republic tv-jan ki baat 81-101 83-103 15
news24-pace media 110-120 70-80 5-15
News nation 99-103 89-93 5-9

On the other hand, ABP News exit poll said the Congress is likely to get a majority by bagging 126 seats. The BJP, it added, would get 94 seats.

In the 90-member Chhattisgarh assembly, exit polls broadcast by Republic-C Voter predicted 35-43 seats for the BJP and 40-50 for the Congress while the News Nation forecast a close race with 38-42 seats for the BJP and 40-44 for the Congress.

Times Now-CNX, however, gave a simple majority to the BJP in Chhattisgarh, saying it may win 46 seats while the opposition Congress may bag 35 seats.

ABP News said the BJP may get up to 52 seats against 35 of the Congress.

However, India Today-Axis predicted the Congress is set to end Chief Minister Raman Singh's 15-year old reign by winning anywhere between 55-65 seats. The BJP, it said, may be reduced to 21-31 seats.

Madhya Pradesh (230 seats)
  Congress BJP Others
NDTV 108 110 12
India Today-Axis My India 104-122 102-120 0-6
Times Now-CNX 89 126 15
Republic TV-Jan ki Baat 95-115 108-128 7
News Nation 105-109 108-112 11-15
Republic TV-C-Voter 110-126 90-126 11-15
ABP News-CSDS 126 94 10
India News MP-NETA 112 106 12
India-CNX 86-92 122-130 12-18
News 24-Pace Media 110-120 98-108 10-14

All the exit polls said the alliance of former chief minister Ajit Jogi's Janta Congress Chhattisgarh (Jogi) and the Bahujan Samaj Party may win between three and eight seats, which may help him to emerge as a king-maker in the event of a hung house.

If exit polls differed in their projections for Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, most of them predicted the Congress' return to power in Rajasthan.

India Today-Axis said the opposition party may win 119-141 out of 199 seats for which elections were held. The BJP, it added, may win 55-72 seats.

Times Now-CNX forecast 105 seats for the Congress and 85 for the BJP.

ABP News also predicted a victory for the Congress, saying it may bag 101 seats while the BJP may end up with 83 and others with 15 seats.

Chhattisgarh (90 seats)
  Congress BJP JCC+BSP Others
NDTV 43 40 5 2
India TV 32-38 42-50 6-8 1-3
News24-Pace Media 45-51 36-42 0 4-8
Times Now-CNX 35 46 7 2
India Today-Axis My India 55-65 21-31 - 4-8
Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat 37-43 40-48 5-6 0
Republic-C-Voter 40-50 35-43 3-7 0
ABP News-CSDS 35 53 0 3
News Nation 40-44 38-42 4-8 0-4
India News MP-NETA 40 43 6 1
India TV-CNX 32-38 42-50 6-8 1-3
India Today- Axis My India 55-65 21-23 4-8 0

However, Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat forecast a tighter race between the two parties. It gave the Congress and the BJP 81-101 and 83-103 seats respectively.

Exit polls were almost unanimous in predicting that TRS president and Chief Minister K Chandrashekar Rao's gamble of advancing the assembly polls will pay off and he will retain power.

Republic TV and Times Now forecast that his party will 50-65 and 66 seats in the 119-member assembly.

TV9 Telugu and India Today forecast a tally between 75-85 and 75-91 for the ruling party respectively.

Telangana (119 seats)
  TRS Congress+TDP BJP Others
NDTV 64 41 5 9
Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat 50-65 38-52 4-7 8-14
India Today-Axis My India 79-91 21-33 1-3 4-7
T News 55-65 34-44 5-7 13-16
News X-NETA 57 46 6 10
Republic-C-Voter 48-60 47-59 5 1-13
News Nation 53-57 51-55 1-5 4-12

Some exit polls saw a tighter battle between the TRS and the Congress-TDP combine.

The counting of votes for five states, including Mizoram besides the four states, will be take place on December 11.

In Mizoram, polls predicted that the Mizo National Front may dislodge the Congress, which is ruling the state for the previous two terms

Mizoram (40 seats)
  Congress MNF BJP Others
India Today- Axis My India 8-12 16-22 0 9-16
Times Now-CNX 16 18 0 6
Republic-C-Voter 14-18 16-20 0 3-10

India Today-Axis My India has predicted that the MNF will manage to reach the half-way mark by attaining 16-22 seats, while the Congress may secure 8-12 seats in the 40-member assembly.

Times Now-CNX, gave the opposition MNF 18 seats and 16 to the Congress. The exit polls conducted by Republic-C-Voter showed the MNF getting 16-20 seats.

With agency inputs.

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