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Can Rahul give the Congress a winning idea for Election 2014?

By T V R Shenoy
January 20, 2014 12:22 IST
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'Some in the Congress believe the party should, somewhat brazenly, claim the cause of fighting corruption as its own. But the Congress's idea of fighting corruption is nothing but tinkering with laws, it lacks the stomach to take on the corrupt,' feels T V R Shenoy.

Can Rahul Gandhi help his party to locate an idea to win the next general election?It is the best of parties, it is the worst of parties. It is the party of wisdom, it is the party of foolishness. It is the party of hope, it is the party of despair. Vote for it, and we are all going direct to Heaven, vote for it, and we shall all go direct the other way...

No -- with due apologies to Charles Dickens -- this is not A Tale of Two Cities, but 'A Tale of Two Parties'.

India's oldest party, the Congress, is an organisation in search of an idea.

India's youngest party, the Aam Aadmi Party, is an idea in search of an organisation.

Both, realistically speaking, have barely two months -- slightly less, actually -- to achieve their quest.

Its decimation in four Vidhan Sabha polls has led commentators to write off the Congress before a vote is cast in the general election.

Through the same strange alchemy the chances of the Aam Aadmi Party are being boosted to the skies even though the party didn't actually emerge as the single largest party -- votes or seats -- even in politically-charged Delhi.

The bottom-line remains that the Congress is still the only party with a truly pan-Indian presence. The Bharatiya Janata Party is largely absent from huge chunks of eastern and southern India.

Contrariwise, the Aam Aadmi Party's ability to win seats outside the political epicentre of Delhi is an unanswered question.

Even the undivided Team Anna -- now decidedly divided -- failed to enthuse Mumbaikars in 2011, the year of its glorious struggles in Delhi.

But what is the use of an organisation if it cannot enthuse voters? That needs an idea to motivate the electorate.

In 1971 Indira Gandhi won on the back of 'Garibi Hatao!' (poverty alleviation).

In 1980 the Nehru-Gandhis rode back by pointing to the price of onions (inflation).

Sympathy waves took the party home in 1984 and 1991.

What is the one big idea that could work in 2014?

The biggest cheers at Rahul Gandhi's speech to the All India Congress Committee on January 17 came when he yelled, 'Pradhan Mantriji, hamein baarah cylinder chahiye! (Mr Prime Minister, we want 12 cylinders!)' It doesn't quite have the ring of 'Garibi Hatao!', does it?

Some in the Congress believe that the party should, somewhat brazenly, claim the cause of fighting corruption as its own. But the Congress's idea of fighting corruption is nothing but tinkering with laws, it lacks the stomach to take on the corrupt.

Look at the Adarsh Housing Scandal. A report by the Comptroller & Auditor General said it was a prime example of how 'select officials, placed in key posts, could subvert rules and regulations in order to grab prime government land.'

Parliament's Public Accounts Committee denounced the 'cavalier manner in which the serious issue of security was overlooked.'

A two-member commission set up by the government of Maharashtra itself mentioned 'greed, nepotism and favouritism.'

And the Central Bureau of Investigation named a former chief minister, Ashok Chavan, after looking into the scam.

How did the Congress deal with this disapproving chorus?

The Congress-Nationalist Congress Party coalition in Maharashtra rejected the report from the commission headed by Justice (retired) J A Patil even though it was the same ministry that had set it up in the first place.

And the governor of Maharashtra, K Sankaranarayanan, refused to give the CBI the permission to prosecute Ashok Chavan.

Yes, Rahul Gandhi made one of his now-famous interventions when his party's government in Mumbai rejected the two-man commission's report. But it was fruitless; the Prithviraj Chavan ministry decided to go after the bureaucrats named in the report while leaving the politicians well and truly alone.

Does this sound like the Congress is serious about fighting corruption, leave alone make the crusade against venality the central theme of its 2014 election campaign?

The Aam Aadmi Party's problem is the mirror image of that facing the Congress. It has the big idea, which is to combat corruption, but it lacks the organisation to work on the ground.

There is a difference between an idea and an ideology. But do remember that the pre-1947 Congress consisted of people with differing ideologies who were yoked together by a single goal, namely a free India.

The difference, of course, is that the Congress never needed to fight elections until decades after it was created. The Aam Aadmi Party does not possess the luxury of time.

The Aam Aadmi Party believes that it cannot attract the dedicated pro-BJP voter. Thus, logically, it has positioned itself as a substitute for the Congress.

There are people who simply cannot bring themselves to vote for the BJP, but are equally dismayed by the Congress, or the Left Front, or the Samajwadi Party. It suits them to believe that the Aam Aadmi Party is a throwback to the Congress of Nehruvian days -- relatively clean, relatively accessible, and making much the same noises on issues ranging from a plebiscite in Jammu & Kashmir (first mooted in Nehru's day) to a discomfort with the private sector.

Within the Congress itself some once thought that the Aam Aadmi Party would split the anti-Congress vote. Judging by what happened in Delhi, the Aam Aadmi Party seems to be swallowing the Congress. Rather than split the anti-Congress vote the Aam Aadmi Party could end up splitting the anti-BJP vote.

Some ask if the Aam Aadmi Party could be successful outside Delhi. That remains to be seen, but one assessment is that the Aam Aadmi Party could win about 50,000 votes in various segments in states such as Karnataka.

That is nowhere near enough to win a seat, but it could be just enough to deny the Congress a victory in close-fought constituencies.

I started with a homage to Dickens, but shall end with a reference to another English writer. Mary Shelley wrote of Frankenstein who had created a monster from bits and pieces of other humans. The creature ended up destroying his creator before disappearing for good.

Could what began as a 'Tale of Two Parties' end up as the parable of 'Congresstein's Monster'?

For earlier columns by Mr T V R Shenoy, please click here.

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