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Home > News > PTI

Poll gives NDA 242-252 seats in next Lok Sabha

August 15, 2003 13:56 IST

The Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance is on a slide, an India Today-ORG MARG opinion poll has said predicting 242-252 seats, short of a simple majority, for the ruling combine in the next Lok Sabha election, down from 304 in 1999.

Congress and its allies, the poll said, are expected to gain 35-45 seats from the 140 bagged in the last general election.

Paradoxically, the opinion poll shows Atal Bihari Vajpayee's rating as the best prime ministerial choice remains a dozen points above Congress president Sonia Gandhi, though her popularity has risen six per cent.

According to the poll, the public disenchantment with the NDA government aggregated to a 0.43 per cent anti-incumbency swing across the country, which has the potential to translate into a loss of at least 57 seats.

The opinion poll says that the disaggregated picture is more alarming for the ruling combine -- relative swings of 3.5
per cent in the east, having 142 seats and 2.16 per cent in the north, having the highest number of 151 seats.

The survey covered 17,500 respondents spread across 98 parliamentary constituencies and was carried out between July 28 and August 6.

Apart from stagnancy in terms of votes, the BJP has begun losing ground in its erstwhile stronghold of Uttar Pradesh
despite a tie-up with Mayawati's Bahujan Samaj Party.

It is also trailing in Orissa, Jharkhand, Delhi, Haryana, Assam and in Andhra Pradesh as its regional allies face the brunt of public anger.

© Copyright 2005 PTI. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PTI content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent.
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Number of User Comments: 7

Sub: The people of this country should give more than that just to the saffron only.

NDA is sort of a dandiya-raas, goes round and round with little progress ahead. What this Bharat Varsh needs today are some radical changes correcting ...

Posted by chanakya

Sub: The govt should resign

It's high time that the govt. should resign. It has been for last 4 years the coalation govt is looting and bluffing the citizens. The ...

Posted by mandar

Sub: opinion poll

Since there is down slide in the downfall of NDA government. I still hope the people still vote for NDA because it provided a good ...

Posted by chandru

Sub: The poll is wrong !!!

The BJP on their own will, in all probability, not cross the 100 seat mark in the next elections. I expect them to be routed. ...

Posted by Shaw

Sub: No modern developments for poor

I beleive NDA is not doing for poor people. Nothing has been changed in Kalahandi for decades. No IIT, AIIMS, IT, industries, developments in this ...

Posted by D. Patra



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