The proposed cess on education in the forthcoming Budget may not be able to push the total spend on the sector beyond the current level of 4 per cent of the GDP, according to sources in the human resources development ministry.
The sources said the current budget of the ministry, at Rs 13,500 crore (Rs 135 billon), would need to be increased by at least Rs 1,000 crore (Rs 10 billion) to maintain pace with the 7-8 per cent GDP growth rate in the current fiscal.
They said, in such an environment, it would take at least another couple of years for the Centre and states to raise the education spend to 6 per cent of the GDP, as announced in the Common Minimum Programme of the government.
The sources also said given the stiff demand for higher education, user charges for higher education might have to wait till the next Budget, even though over the world, primary education is state-sponsored, while higher education does not enjoy subsidies. But the settlement with the IIMs have set a precedent for things to come.
Officials said the proposed education cess would be directed "mainly" towards elementary education. The ministry has identified 250 priority districts, which will get the largest proportion of the cess.
Officials said the districts had been identified on the basis of demographic patterns --