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Home > Cricket > World Cup 2003 > Special >

Searching for ODI's "Most Valuable Players"

M J Manohar Rao and Srinivas Bhogle | January 27, 2003

 

What makes a cricketer valuable in ODI cricket?

If he's a batsman he must score a lot of runs, and score these runs quickly.

If he's a bowler he must take a lot of wickets, and concede as few runs as possible.

As a fielder he must take every catch that comes his way, help effect run outs and save as many runs as possible.

The most valuable cricketer must also possess attributes that are harder to quantify. ‘Grit', 'determination ', 'flair ', 'cool ', 'courage' and all those others qualities that commentators love to eulogize.

Let's leave out these ‘hard-to-quantify' variables and attempt a simpler formulation that still seems sensible and interesting.

Let's decide that every run scored fetches a point. So if a batsman scores 60, he gets 60 points. Let's agree that every wicket is worth 20 points. So a bowler who takes 3 wickets also gets 60 points. Finally, let's say that every catch taken is worth 5 points.

Next, we must give more points to a batsman who scores 60 in 60 balls than someone who scores 60 in 100 balls. We must, likewise, reward a bowler who gets 3-25 more than someone who gets 3-55. How could we do this?

The average number of runs scored in ODI cricket is about 225. This is usually scored in 300 balls (50 overs) implying a strike rate of (225/300) x 100 = 75.

So we would normally expect a batsman to score 75 runs in 100 balls. If he gets a century in 100 balls, we offer him 100-75 = 25 bonus points. So these 100 runs fetch him a total of 100+25=125 points. By the same argument we expect a batsman to score 45 runs in 60 balls. If he scores 60 runs, he gets 15 bonus points or a total of 60 + 15 = 75 points. It works the other way if you score slowly. A 60 scored in 100 balls, i.e. 15 runs less, would fetch only 60–15 = 45 points.

Let's consider the bowler's performance now. The batsman's strike rate (SR) is equated with the bowler's economy rate (ER): in effect, a SR of 75 implies an ER of (75/100) x 6 = 4.5 runs per over.  Thus, if he bowls 10 overs, he's expected to give away only 45 runs. So a bowler with figures of 10-0-25-3 gets 60 points for the 3 wickets and 20 bonus points -- because he gave away 20 runs less than expected. So this performance will fetch the bowler 60+20 = 80 points. If, instead, the bowler has figures of 10-0-55-3, then he gets 60 points for the 3 wickets but loses 55-45 = 10 points for his poor economy to end up with 60-10 = 50 points.

Notice, in passing, that negative marks are possible. A batsman scoring 30 in 100 balls (he should actually have scored 75 runs) ends up with 30-45 = -15 points. Similarly, a bowler with figures of  6-0-37-0 also ends up with -10 points (he should have only given away 4.5 x 6 = 27 runs, i.e. 10 runs less).

When we worked out this formulation a few weeks ago it looked sufficiently attractive. So we requested the Rediff team to dig into the archives and compile the relevant statistics, over the period January 1st 2001 31st December 2002, for all the 15 x 7 =135 players representing the top nine ODI playing countries.

Our analysis was great fun and contained unexpected surprises.

Sachin Tendulkar

Sachin TendulkarWe started with Sachin Tendulkar. During 2001 and 2002, Tendulkar played 37 matches and scored a total of 1645 runs in 1837 balls for a strike rate of 89.55 runs per 100 balls. The average strike rate in a 225-run innings is 75. So Tendulkar earned a bonus of 89.55 - 75.00 = 14.55 for every 100 balls faced.

Since he faced a total of 1837 balls, this translated into a total bonus of 14.55 x 1837 = 267.28 points. Tendulkar's total batting points were therefore 1645 + 267.28 = 1912.28. Tendulkar took 7 catches to get 35 fielding points. As a bowler, he took 12 wickets that fetched him 240 points. But his bowling economy rate was poor; he gave away 5.4 runs per over -- instead of the average 4.5 runs -- while bowling his 109 overs and 5 balls.

Tendulkar was therefore penalized (5.4-4.5) x 109.83 = 98.85 points. In sum, therefore, Tendulkar's tally after playing 37 matches was 1912.28 + 35 + 240 - 98.85 = 2088.43 points. Tendulkar's average points were therefore 2088.43 / 37 = 56.44. This provides a good indicator of Tendulkar's ‘value' or ‘worth' to his team.

Muthiah Muralitharan

Muthiah MuralitharanWe next looked next at Muthiah Muralitharan, one of the most successful ODI bowlers during 2001-2002.

We found that Murali had played 50 matches, taken 86 wickets, and bowled at an economy rate of 3.15.

After a similar calculation (that we won't bother our readers with), we found that Murali's value was 50.62.

Jacques Kallis

Jacques KallisFinally we checked out Jacques Kallis, arguably the best all-rounder in ODI cricket today. In 2001 + 2002 Kallis played 52 matches and scored 2052 runs in 2752 balls, at a strike rate of 74.56.

Being a shade below the average 75, Kallis's batting points dropped by a little over 12 to end up with 2039.89. Kallis took 62 wickets but at an economy rate of 4.65, again a little worse than the average of 4.5. So his final bowling points were 1181.

He also took 29 catches to earn another 145 points. Kallis finally ended up with a total tally of 3366.29 over 52 matches for a average value of 64.74.

Kallis' value was 8 points more than Tendulkar's -- confirming what everyone really knows; that an outstanding all-rounder like Jacques Kallis is priceless in ODI cricket and even more valuable than a Tendulkar or a Muralitharan.

Since our values appeared sensible we undertook a similar analysis for all the 135 players from the top nine ODI-playing teams. Our results were extremely revealing, but there was a minor hitch. Certain players like Blackwell and Harmison of England, Blignaut of Zimbabwe or Parthiv Patel of India -- who have so far played too few games for their values to become ‘stable' -- appeared in the top ten. So we decided to consider only those ODI players who have played at least 10 matches for their team in 2001 and 2002. With this correction, we got extremely satisfactory results.

The table below lists ODI's Most Valuable Players (MVPs) from the 2003 World Cup squads (there are some truly valuable players -- e.g. the Waugh brothers -- missing from our list) based upon our allround performance index

RankNameIndex
1CH Gayle67.92
2JH Kallis64.74
3CL Cairns64.04
4SR Tendulkar56.44
5ST Jayasuriya53.24
6Shahid Afridi51.73
7M Muralitharan50.62
8DS Lehmann49.68
9CL Hooper48.79
10AC Gilchrist48.21
11Salim Elahi47.88
12SM Pollock47.75
13A Flintoff47.56
14V Sehwag47.53
15ML Hayden47.52
16GW Flower46.45
17ME Trescothick46.07
18HH Gibbs45.49
19RT Ponting45.37
20Wasim Akram45.33
21SC Ganguly44.20
22SE Bond43.87
23A Flower43.65
24HH Streak43.57
25Yousuf Youhana43.23
26Abdul Razzaq42.59
27SB Styris41.67
28RR Sarwan41.39
29B Lee41.35
30AR Adams40.56

RankNameIndex
31NV Knight39.90
32GD McGrath39.90
33NJ Astle39.23
34MN Samuels39.04
35L Klusener38.83
36JN Gillespie38.70
37N Boje38.65
38WPUJ Vaas37.46
39VC Drakes37.46
40G Kirsten36.93
41Harbhajan Singh36.52
42JN Rhodes36.45
43N Hussain36.43
44PT Collins36.23
45RC Irani36.06
46CZ Harris35.84
47AA Donald35.83
48CD McMillan35.77
49AB Agarkar35.73
50KD Mills35.32
51BC Lara34.87
52SK Warne34.69
53M Ntini34.00
54M Jayawardene33.57
55RS Dravid33.17
56Shoaib Akhtar33.16
57Saeed Anwar33.00
58S Chanderpaul32.99
59A Symonds32.88
60Waqar Younis32.79

RankNameIndex
61MS Attapattu32.63
62Yuvraj Singh32.19
63HH Dippenaar32.15
64Zaheer Khan32.07
65JDP Oram31.13
66RP Arnold31.06
67Younis Khan30.28
68DA Marillier29.76
69RL Powell29.62
70CD Collymore29.57
71AJ Bichel29.55
72M Dillon29.41
73PD Collingwood29.24
74NAM McLean29.24
75PA de Silva28.73
76Saqlain Mushtaq28.70
77D Mongia28.57
78A Gunawardene28.26
79Inzamam ul Haq28.15
80DR Tuffey28.02
81MJ Hoggard27.64
82DR Martyn26.67
83SP Fleming26.44
84MG Bevan26.41
85J Srinath25.93
86SR Watson25.86
87AR Caddick25.77
88CRD Fernando25.20
89M Kaif24.69
90CB Wishart24.38

RankNameIndex
91SB Bangar24.30
92Mohd Sami24.26
93MS Sinclair24.09
94AJ Stewart24.07
95WW Hinds23.86
96DT Hondo23.45
97TJ Friend23.44
98DL Vettori23.39
99TCB Fernando23.23
100MV Boucher22.18
101KC Sangakkara21.66
102Rashid Latif21.36
103A Kumble21.34
104JP Maher21.00
105SM Ervine20.77
106A Nehra20.62
107AF Giles20.43
108PW Gunaratne20.19
109RD Jacobs19.55
110BA Murphy19.17
111MP Vaughan18.30
112L Vincent17.93
113Azhar Mahmood17.21
114HK Olonga16.55
115GJ Whittall16.05
116DD Ebrahim14.83
117RAP Nissanka13.85
118BB McCullum13.16
119C White12.94
120T Taibu7.99

 

The biggest surprise was to find Chris Gayle right at the top. He's up there because he scored a lot of runs (1819), scored them at a strike rate of almost 85, took 39 wickets, bowled at an acceptable economy rate (4.86) and also took 22 catches -- and all this in only 42 matches.

There are some other easy conclusions: to make it to the top 10, you must ideally be an excellent all-rounder. You can also make it to the top if you are outstanding in one skill and dabble with some success in the others. If you are excellent in only one skill, expect to be only in the next ten or twenty.

Finally, if we add up the total (not averaged) player tally country-wise, we get the following aggregate score over the 15-man squad that each country is fielding:

1South Africa20395
2Pakistan19261
3Sri Lanka18714
4India18568
5Australia16627
6West Indies15228
7New Zealand14957
8Zimbabwe10935
9England9390

South Africa are at the top because they have the best collection of all-rounders. Pakistan are second because they have the second best set of all-rounders. Sri Lanka and India have among the most talented individual players.

The real surprise is Australia at No. 5. It is easy to see that this is because the Waugh brothers are absent and are being replaced by relatively inexperienced players like Martyn and Maher; together, the Waughs would have contributed at least 3000 points more to the tally -- putting them right at the top! Australia, not to mention World Cup viewers, are going to miss them sorely.

Design: Imran Shaikh

 

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Number of User Comments: 53




Sub: WC 2003 -- Most Valuable Player Analaysis

Whatever the analysis indicates, the fact is that, Tendulkar or Kallis was not instrumental in any commentable victory or performed in recent history. For India, ...


Posted by T S Subramanian





Sub: Searching for ODI's MVP

Brilliant article, Excellent statistical tool. Keep up the good work.


Posted by Ashutosh Shukla, Edison, USA





Sub: Excellent Analysis

Hats off to MJ Manohar Rao and Srinivas Bhogle !! This is excellent analysis and I thoroughly enjoyed that too with the world cup coming ...


Posted by Ram Vinayak





Sub:

This was complete bull****. Look at the positions of the players for 2003. Rahul Dravid who voted the MOST VALUABLE PLAYER for year 2003 by ...


Posted by Dhaval





Sub: Great Statstical Analysis

It is a good way of stastically accumulating all the parameters such as runs,wickets and catches so as to give a good measurement of Value ...


Posted by Indian




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