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UK sees possible Russia-India-China alliance
April 12, 2003 13:05 IST
The British Defence Ministry's Joint Doctrine and Concepts Centre sees a possible Russian-Chinese-Indian alliance to counter US influence, according to Washington-based Defence News.
China and India, it says, will register the world's biggest increases in defence spending through 2030, measured by percentage. Both, it says, may seek to extend their reach regionally by 2015, and globally after 2030, when Beijing's military budget may be the world's second largest.
US spending will continue to exceed the next five largest spenders combined.
The JDCC team was assisted in making the report by more than 100 top industrialists, academics and scientists. They were asked to list developments likely to shape defence policy in 2015 and 2030. Among them are Doomsday events -- like the September 11, 2001 attacks -- that would shake the world.
Other shocks it lists include: A Europe-US split and low European defence spending that by 2030 enable or encourage the re-emergence of conventional military threats and a long-term, strongly unilateralist US posture that splits the European Union from America and foments new coalitions to oppose US power.
The US is likely to remain engaged with NATO, but will cease to rely on it for actions outside Europe beause growing political differences with European members.
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