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Garbage too can make you rich S. Dinakar and Michael Freedman, Forbes | August 30, 2006 In most Indian cities roadsides are dusty or caked with mud. Trash is piled high amid blood-red marks of chewed-up betel leafs and the smell of urine. But the streets are comparatively clean in Chennai, an industrial city of 5.5 million on the nation's southeastern coast. Early each morning hundreds of workers trawl by foot and auto-rickshaw through the main arteries of India's fourth-largest city picking up mounds of litter. A team of street sweepers reduces dust. And garbage collectors go door to door in even the most dangerous slums to gather and haul off trash. Garbage experts estimate that on average every person in a developing nation produces one pound of trash per day, compared to three times that amount in a developed nation. But both the economies and populations of the largest Asian nations are growing quickly, suggesting a staggering increase in garbage generation in the years to come. Already the world's most populous nation, China generates 190 million tons of trash per year, more than the US, and by 2030, the World Bank estimates, that figure will jump to 480 million tons. Yet only between 5 per cent and 50 per cent of China's waste is currently treated through modern landfill methods or incineration, compared to probably 99 per cent in the US. The situation is even worse in countries like India, Indonesia and the Philippines, where less than 5 per cent is treated. In its biggest market, China, Veolia handles 20,000 tons of garbage per day, disposing of it in landfills or running it through its waste-to-energy plants. As a result, Veolia's revenue from Asia hit $1.7 billion in 2005 - a 29 per cent increase over the previous year - and executives say it could increase another 15 per cent to 20 per cent annually for the next five years, outpacing growth in the rest of the company. The $53 billion (2005 sales) company now runs the two biggest landfills in Hong Kong and is testing a hazardous waste incinerator in Shanghai's main industrial chemical center. And in many of these countries contracts are opaque, cash flow is uncertain and there is little recourse in the event of government corruption or expropriation. Arbitration is a lengthy and difficult process. Slideshows: "When you go to a country where regulations change from day to day, or are not enforced, it's hard for a reputable company to compete with people who are willing to ignore regulations or pay bribes to get past inspections or enforcement," says Sandra Cointreau, a solid-waste adviser to the World Bank. Their own governments encouraged this kind of work, too. Beginning in the 1970s European governments lent China money, requiring Beijing to use it to hire European pollution-remediation companies. One of the first to take advantage of this was Suez. By 1992 Veolia made its first Asian contact by setting up a waste-to-energy plant in Macau, and through the decades it evangelized throughout the region on the benefits of Western-style pollution control. At first Chinese municipal authorities expressed little interest. Jorge Mora, Veolia's point man in China, says cities competed with one another for economic growth but paid little attention to the environmental effects of rapid industrialization. "The only thing they had in mind was GDP, GDP, GDP," he says. So beginning in 2000 Veolia began to snap up contracts in Guangzhou and along the coast; it now handles 60% of the waste in Shanghai, China's most populous city. Mora and other waste professionals agree that Chinese officials are far more committed to cleaning up the country than in the past. "Even Chinese officials from the environment ministry are saying there's still a lot of things to do," says Mora. But executives rejected the idea when they realized there was little guarantee the nation's trash would be properly collected. "If you put in $200 million to $300 million and you're not sure the waste is going to get there, that's a risk we're not going to take," says Richard Felago, senior vice president of business development and strategy at the Houston company. "I don't think any city has met the deadline," says N C Vasuki, the head of the International Solid Waste Association. A 2000 law further mandated the separation of organic waste from recyclables - something that has also proved impossible. Bureaucracy is one reason for India's difficulties. Several years ago the city of Delhi contracted with Danish company Volund to construct and operate a modern waste-to-energy plant that would deliver 4 megawatts of electricity to the city grid, according to Vasuki. But shortly after they started up, a dispute arose about the calorific value of the solid waste. The plant was shut down amid a spate of lawsuits and has been sitting idle for more than a decade. In 2003 Vasuki visited and recommended to officials that they could restart the plant, with some modifications, and feed it a mix of plastics from composting operations, as well as hospital, nursing home and industrial wastes. The top official in Delhi told him that two government departments were at loggerheads and no one was willing to make a decision to settle the case. In the meantime, Vasuki says, Delhi's solid-waste stream is growing at 6 per cent annually. The bureaucracy has prevented private participation in other ways, too. Authorities in Tirupur, in the south of India, invited a private contractor to build a composting plant to convert biodegradable material or organic waste into fertilizer. But the city refused to enforce the law requiring garbage segregation, arguing it did not have the resources, and refused to allow the plant to function with mixed garbage. Now the trash is just dumped in the open, and the plant is in a state of disuse, processing at only 10 per cent of capacity. "Getting segregated garbage is a major concern," says B. Suresh, chief of Mahindra Acres Consulting. Suez has taken a wait-and-see approach to India, and Veolia found it would get only $10 per ton in the first year - half of what it gets in Chennai - along with annual price increases that did not cover future costs. It elected not to bid, according to Patrick Huard, head of its Chennai operation. "It was difficult to take the type of risk, if you are not sure of compensation for inflation," he says. Instead Delhi turned to local companies with little experience in waste collection. In addition, Veolia's contract, now under negotiation, calls for collection only, not disposal. So rather than landfilling the garbage, it simply dumps 1,200 tons of trash a day into a 100-acre-plus marshy mess in Perungudi, one of the most expensive and rapidly growing parts of Chennai. Burning mounds of organic waste and plastic release plumes of toxic white smoke and cloak the bustling business hub in a white cloud. On a recent day ragpickers, including children, dug through piles of trash, hoping to find something salvageable that they could later sell. There's plenty of opportunity in cleaning up Asia. But given the complexity of the job, few companies, large or small, want to get their hands dirty. Here are some that do: Slideshow: Most off-beat cities for investing More Specials
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