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'I like the logistics business' January 18, 2005
jk : sir, any picks in the print industry? what are ur views about navneet publication? Also, in the auto ancillary sector, what are ur views on Amtek auto? Will you recommend a buy for these stocks at the present levels? Yogesh : Sir, last week I sold NTPC and Tata tele with a profit of about 20%. Now I again want to buy these stocks. Do you think I should go for them again? Also, I'm holding SBI. Any views on SBI? hydinvestor : Hi Ramesh, Good eveningI have Mount Shivalik, Champagne Indage, Tilak Nagar. With takeover attempts by big boys, and mergers etc, what would be the fate of small breweries and wine companies? Will they be able to survive with their own identity along with the aggressive biggies? JesseLivermore : Sir, ABN Amro's quoted as bearish on World economy. Expects a global slowdown vis-a-vis last year's phenomenal rebound (biggest of the last two decades).Their contention is that all indicators are going down. Whats your opinion? nanpal : Damani Sir, Give some goot short term scrips for 2-3 months hold. Most of your scrips are of 1 year or more period. Thanks ckr : Sir, The cement sector is supposed to do well in coming days. Do you think gaints like ACC and GujAmbuja has still something left to buy at the current levels? What about buying cement stocks like Mysore Cements,India Cements etc? baracuda : have yu read the interim report on the govt of indias gas pricing policy where they intend to reduce the gas transmission cost by almost 50% on the gails HBJ piplne if this is put to practise gails bottomline will take a 500crs hit inwhich case will yu change your opinion on GAIL pawanddrpk : Sir I read a book in which the author was a leading well known fund manager of U.S based company. One day while polishing his shoes , cobbler asked him for a share script. On that very day he sold all his holdings (nearly 1500 companies stocks) & markets went down 35 % from there within a week. Is this the scenario which is going to take place in Indian market. Please reply sir. Is Indian market are over bought now ! JOEGRANVILLE : ramesh,i think there is a lack of indepedent reseach houses in india, some like dow jones news leter does not exist here..most of research is done by brokerage houses???do u know any independent research house in india???thanks JOEGRANVILLE : ramesh, what have u been reading lately??i suggest u to read a book named BIOLOGY OF BUSINESS BY John Henry Clippinger ???? vikrant : hi mr damani .. i would like to to ask " SO CALLED WIZARDS " .. that do they go short in a bear market and also about their educatioin and early days sanujkadavil : SirWhat side of business you likes in AEGIS , their annual report says logistics and terminal division's 50-60% capacity already entered for longterm contracts. Also entering to retailting of auto LPG... kvg : sir, surya roshni is going down without any pull back . do u see more downside from this level. since you have take position in this stock for trading . should i remain in this stock now also. i bought around 40 levels. william : Reference press note 18, I got the feeling that existing ventures do not gain. What effect will this have on GPI and VST if the modi's and ITC do not play ball Anit : GEOMETRIC : One time your favourite is again in the news with ambition of USD 100 M by 2007 and most analyst expect they will attain it. For that it should grow 60% for next 3 yrs. thats phenominal and hence one of the best scrip. how do u rate GEOMETRIC now InfyRock : Sur, Plssssss.Pls reply, as I am trying to take ur view from last 2 weeks, Hi ramesh, Need your valuable advice, I am having 100 HLL & 100 IPCL shares, SHud I Sell or Hold? SUDHIR : INSPITE OF GOOD RESULTS MACMILLAN IS NOT RERATED SUFFICIENTLY. I THINK NOW WITH THE GROWTH IN PLACE IT SHOULD COMMAND PREMIUM VALUATIONS BASANTMAHESHWARI : Are you aware that RJ has pared his holding in Pantaloon by half (206k)Was it because of the company diluting equity to Bennet and colman or just a casual stroke of profit booking. ALso Morgan has taken over 4% stake in Trent and has also bought over 350k of pantaloon.Seems the Retail story is being discovered but any idea why the man who saw tomorrow would have sold?Please let us know? Anit : NUCLEUS : Are result out today. if yes. did u see it vikrant : plz ask ramdeo agarwal that does he believe in going short on mkts .. i think u will do a gr8 job of hosting the show and carry the legacy of jack d schwager further nlaxmann : sir, i was informed by my bro0ker that mkt is likely to fall heavily as fm is shortly going to name the brokers responsible for may 17 crash. please give your view barrracuda : gati at a market cap of 90crs and exp sales of 325 crs looks cheap especially if yu read their new expansin plans into china and singapore refer to todays hindu businessline vikrant : any book u can recommend about contrarian investing .. SUDHIR : SIR I AM FED UP WITH MACMILLAN INSPITE OF GOOD RESULTS IT SEEMS TO BE LANGUISHING sureshmakhija : sir good evening urrecomending encore software and u also hold it rrecently i read that market for simputers are not so good and encore predicted that this year they r going to sell 25000 siputer though they have sell 3000 in last three years any other reason u r bullish on it plzz comment thanx sush : viewing the current market scenario which sector do you think is better to invest - cement or steel? Anit : BALNER LAWRIE : Results are not upto the mark . Is it good opportunity to buy as LOGISTIC businerss where u are bullish will grow in coming qtrs. mansri : Sir, your basket of IT stocks – KALE,CREST,NELCO,LOGIX MICRO and value picks – GODREJ IND,OPTO,GOLDIAM were recommended by you about an year back. What is your re-view now on the stocks? Pl advise? I bought some of the stocks on your recommendation and still hold barrracuda : nuclueus has done 6 crs for the qrt and macmillan 43 crs for the full year great results alli can say is thanks a million channdai : sir to issue notices to brokers responsible for may fall is ridiculous as in a free market anybody can enter or exit at their free will?? do u agree?? Sharad : Ou of the recent Results,,,Which one was the most impressive (except Macmillan)??????? amandeep : The promo on CNBC looks great and now we can see u on NDTV too , always better to seeing and hearing you more often , sir any new ideas ... names of any scrips please.. skk : you refer gati to your clients. Do u have broking account of any other person ion your firm other than you. If u have we would like to open account with you only.Is it possible sureshmakhija : sir do u studied abt abee info consumable sir is it time to take intial invetsment in this scrip vikrant : do u think that with the CRB index rallying the dow would go into a big selloff mode shortly as dow utilities is also falling heavily
TINI : sir, balmer lawrie is a diversified company and all the business run under the company are making decent profit. then what it lacks to its pears. is management is not good or is it a psu that no one is taking seriously. please reply thanks amandeep : gati has gone up about 20 percent is last 3 trading secessions mainly on Monday when u spoke on NDTV and you still deny your clout with the masses , is there any more proof needed of the trust that we the common have in you bhavya : sir wizards of dalal street is mr ramesh damani. what he says goes well. but he cant say wether markets will fall further or not. i am sure. whats your view on it sir ? amandeep : Would GATI at 120 be a buy or would you advice a correction before a buy InfyBoy : Mr. Damaniji, What is your view on IDBI Bank, Dabur at the current levels? Advance thanks for your answer!! sureshmakhija : , thanx for replying sir dont u think that oil and gas sector and fertelizer sector arestill untouched in this bull run is it right time to invest in that sectorisr plzz comment thanx JesseLivermore : Peter Lynch would buy Dena Bank by a logic similar to why he bough virutally every S&L that went public in states. Do you agree? (notwithstanding the huge NPAs) Rahul : sir can you tell us something about GATI? They are into what? barrrracuda : balmers results have been flat they have done 8crs for the qrt and 11.7 for the nine months management says they are in the process of divesting the entire 61% stake and the matter has been referred to the centre ushti : sir, hv immensly benefitted from yr comments; sir pl give yr opinion on my present hold'gs ie encore soft, i flex, indo matsu app,foursoft, carol info pl; am an housewife will remain grateful to u; regards InfyBoy : Sir, if the actual value of UB Holdings is more than the CMP, Even then Why there is no participation from FIIs or MF or Institutuions??? Please Clarify pawanddrpk : sir you are our ideal. we only follow you. you are only the single person who never misleads the investor. we believe you in closed eyes ran : dear sir, Hotel/Software/ITES/BPO all are doing well. I request you which allied sector will derive benefit from this. Is Thomas cook is a better bet. Please advice. dhruv : SIR WHAT IS UR VIEW FOR MID DAY AND JUBILANT ORGANOSIS. DO U OWN THEM stockstudent : Mr Damani, did you get a chance to read Jim Roger's interview in the annual issue of Fortune? Ramesh S Damani : Of course. rakesh : IS GATI CORPORATION A SISTER COMPANY OF THE AGARWAL'S OWNED TRANSPORT CORPORATION OF INDIA GROUP Ramesh S Damani : They are related but run separately. ValueInvestor : Buffett says in the shoret term the stock market is a voting machine and in the long term it is a weighing machine ? Does this apply to Indian markets also ? Ramesh S Damani : To all markets and all equity. barrrracuda : on the lighter side have yu had a look at the KINGFISHER SWIMSUIT CALENDAR 2005 especially the photo of vijay mallya with shilpa shetty is great Ramesh S Damani : You think they would send me a copy. But no. Not to shareholders? JesseLivermore : Indian hotels have a hidden budget hotel company within it. Do you think it can become the main company in a few years? Ramesh S Damani : Yes, I doubt it though. The economics of the business are poor due to highland costs. kapil : do u hold aegis logistics in your portfolio. Ramesh S Damani : Yes, though I trade in it. sureshmakhija : sir in this bull run u have a lot of scrips to inevst but the funds are limited is is good to hold the srips which u have bought or u have to book profits and then move to others scrips plzz comment thanx in advance Ramesh S Damani : Hold the good scripts. ran : Dear sir ,Thanks very much.Very happy to see your reply on Thomas cook. A MNC with good bonus issue track record and available at a P/E of 19, for long term is it a bad investment Ramesh S Damani : Look at the turnover. Even after100 yrs turnover is under 100crs. I own it, but they are not growing as I would like them. amandeep : would it be possible for you to appear on the daily chat show of CNBC giving advice , if they can get an ( ambrish Baliga ) with due respect to him , but they are not a patch on the advice we get from you..I am sure the TRPs will be higer ... CNBC are u listening .. but please befor u recommed a stock on any channel do share it with us first cause of the damani effect Ramesh S Damani : I dislike coming so often on TV and I mean it -- market timinig is not my strenth. Ambrish is a good friend and a smart guy. BrijNiralay : Alfa Laval: Damaniji: A diversified co with strong Dividend history ? Your take pls ? Your fan Ramesh S Damani : Good companies give great dividends. rakesh : MY DEAR RAN,THOMAS COOK IS NOT WORTH BUYING NOW, AS THE RESULTS ARE NOT THAT GOOD.THOMAS COOKS MAIN SUSTENANCE WAS THRU ITS FOREIGN EXCHANGE DIVISION, WHERE THE MARGINS ARE VERY THIN NOW.AND THERE IS ALREADY A TALK IN THE CORPORATE CIRCLES THAT THOMAS COOK OVERSEAS MAY SELL OF ITS INDIAN ARM,AM I RIGHT MR DAMANI Ramesh S Damani : Your logic is correct. channdai : sir where can i get BOOK VALUE of the scripts?? i have checked nse bse moneycontrol etc. but i can't find them??pl guide.. Ramesh S Damani : Try capital markets. BrijNiralay : Peter Lynch says: If the growth percent is 12 % and dividend yield is 3 %. Addition of the two divided by a P/E of 10 would give a factor of 1.5 which would be a good investment. ideally he looks for 2 ( which is fab). Any cos in this range ? - Your fan Ramesh S Damani : Nothing comes to mind. balloon : SRF Polymers (holding company for SRF) - investment valued at three times the CMP of 62. My logic is similar to yours on UB Holdings...am i going rite? and also ur views on Oil marketing companies co's. Kindly reply ? Ramesh S Damani : Logic seems correct channdai : sir i have funds but i am confused as many many good companies and recommandation and i can't keep track in each so pl guide me for long term .. Ramesh S Damani : Investment requires time and patience. Neewbieatstock : Sir mcdowell's been buzzing again last few days, anything specific Ramesh S Damani : No news. kbc : AS A FRESH INVESTOR WITH 2 LACS, KINDLY SUGGET 3 SCRIPS TO START WITH....THANX Ramesh S Damani : Look at the transcripts for stocks that I have recommeded. Thanks all I will be on vacation for the next 3 weeks. So no show. Good luck and happy investing. NO SHOW FOR NEXT 3 WEEKS SINCE I WILL BE ON VACATION.
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