The Reserve Bank of India has raised a red flag over banks' foreign currency loans to the Indian corporate sector, as data compiled by the regulator reveal only 40 per cent of their exposure has been hedged.
With the Indian currency depreciating 18.7 per cent in 2011, banks face the grim possibility of a chunk of the unhedged loans turning bad, as a fall in the value of the rupee will shrink the loan repayment capacity of companies.
According to RBI data, between August 5, 2011 and December 15, 2011, the rupee had depreciated by over 18 per cent, while volatility (as measured by the annualised standard deviation of daily percentage changes) nearly doubled from about five per cent to 12 per cent.
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Half the funds raised by firms through ECBs funded by Indian banks.
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