The trend for the monetary strategy going forward, according to experts, is expected to be set by the Reserve Bank of India in its third quarterly monetary policy review on January 24.
The RBI, which has increased key rates 13 times since March, 2010, had indicated in its December policy review that it could reverse the tight monetary policy stance in case inflation remains under control.
Food inflation, according to the latest data, fell into the negative zone in the week ended December 24, declining by 3.36 per cent.
With regard to headline inflation, it fell from 9.73 per cent in October to 9.11 per cent in November and is expected to decline further.
"I expect headline inflation could come down even below 7 per cent by March-end. . . The environment appears to be in favour of the RBI reversing its monetary policy stance," Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council chairman C Rangarajan said. Earlier this week, RBI Governor D Subbarao said interest rates have peaked and are set to ease from now on.
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