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7 factors that will decide gold's price this year

Last updated on: January 23, 2013 07:35 IST

7 factors that will decide gold's price this year

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Societe Generale, a major European bank, has a note out asking whether 2013 will be the first year since 2000 that gold ends the year down, according to Business Insider. In it, they present the bullish and bearish argument in the simplest manner possible, it says.

Let's take a look at the arguments that will decide the price of gold this year.

Source: Business Insider

Click NEXT to see the negative factors that could have a bearing on the yellow metal...


Image: A customer tries on a gold necklace in Hanoi, Vietnam.
Photographs: Nguyen Huy Kham/Reuters

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7 factors that will decide gold's price this year

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Equities stand at their lowest level since 20 years, relative to gold, making the latter less attractive.

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Image: An employee looks at gold jewellery at a shop in Hanoi, Vietnam.
Photographs: Nguyen Huy Kham/Reuters
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7 factors that will decide gold's price this year

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The dollar could appreciate and interest rates may rise amid signs of a stronger economic recovery.

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Image: An employee displays gold jewellery in Russia's Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk.
Photographs: Ilya Naymushin/Reuters
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7 factors that will decide gold

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Inflation is still under control.

Click NEXT to see three factors that could have a positive bearing on gold...


Image: Women walk past the Emirates Diamonds shop at Gold and Diamond Park, a shopping mall specialised in gold and diamond retailing, in Dubai.
Photographs: Jumana El-Heloueh/Reuters
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7 factors that will decide gold's price this year

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Currency wars and renewed monetary easing could push gold higher.

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Image: A woman displays a small gold coin next to Europe's largest gold coin in a shop in Vienna, Austria.
Photographs: Herwig Prammer/Reuters
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7 factors that will decide gold's price this year

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Demand from emerging countries may increase.

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Image: Japanese ornamental 'hina' dolls, made of pure gold, is unveiled at the Ginza Tanaka store in Tokyo.
Photographs: Yuriko Nakao/Reuters
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7 factors that will decide gold's price this year

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In the long run, gold may play a role in the transition to an international currency reserve system.

Click NEXT to see the most important question of all...


Image: A woman is reflected on the window of a jewellery shop where gold bangles are on display in Istanbul, Turkey.
Photographs: Murad Sezer/Reuters
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7 factors that will decide gold's price this year

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The most crucial question, really, is the interest rate one. If real interest rates in the US begin to normalise, gold will likely get crushed, as Goldman Sachs (and others) have pointed out lately, according to Business Insider.


Image: A store keeper arranges gold jewellery in Kathmandu.
Photographs: Navesh Chitrakar/Reuters

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